The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Regina Pats 57.9%
Draw 18.8%
Moose Jaw Warriors 23.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.3%
18.8%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.5%
20%
25.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Regina Pats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Moose Jaw Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Regina Pats than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moose Jaw Warriors than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Regina Pats - Moose Jaw Warriors Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Tabashnuik T. (G)
41. Switzer J. (G)
20. Bear C.
19. Brown C. (A)
55. Cermak T.
8. Carter C.
11. Derkatch D.
21. Darby G.
38. Deschamps D. (A)
12. Degagne W.
24. Egland J.
16. Degenstein N.
6. Hamilton R. (C)
18. Deichert C.
28. Henry L.
11. Kamarainen R.
29. Karsay S.
22. Lajoie M.
37. Klassen C.
7. McFadden L.
57. Lansard Z.
34. Moroz L. (A)
18. Moore Z. (A)
36. Nagel G.
44. Paranych M.
4. Paquette N.
32. Paull M.
39. Petersen C.
13. Pue L.
10. Schmidt C. (A)
19. Schultz M. (A)
23. Smith C.
52. Sejna O.
38. Thorpe R.
26. Tukio O.
43. Trefny J.
23. Wagner A.
3. Williams C.
Substitutes
33. Mooney D. (G)
1. Mingo D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (6 - 2)
00:49, 0 - 1, Kamarainen R. (G), Lajoie M. (A),
05:08, 1 - 1, Tukio O. (G), Hamilton R. (A), Karsay S. (A2)
07:44, 1 - 2, Thorpe R. (G), Lajoie M. (A), Kamarainen R. (A2)
11:21, 2 - 2, Pue L. (G), Hamilton R. (A), Karsay S. (A2)
13:52, 3 - 2, Moore Z. (G), Pue L. (A), Paranych M. (A2)
18:37, 4 - 2, Pue L. (G), Paull M. (A),
19:06, 5 - 2, Pue L. (G), Karsay S. (A),
19:39, 6 - 2, Lansard Z. (G), Deschamps D. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 8th in the Promotion - WHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Regina won 4.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Regina carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Regina in today's match, at odds of 1.63.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Regina has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 67:77 (averaging 3.4:3.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Regina against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 30:36 goals (averaging 3:3.6 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Moose Jaw Warriors - the odds 3.89 are the expected chance of winning is 23.86%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.