The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mora 65%
Draw 18.1%
Troja Ljungby 16.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
58.8%
20.5%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.5%
21.1%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mora's performance.
Troja Ljungby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mora than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mora that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troja Ljungby than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Mora - Troja Ljungby Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
57. Breivold T. (G)
35. Holm V. (G)
16. Karlstrom M.
11. Bergmanis A.
39. Gunnarsson K.
18. Hedberg T.
7. de Jong E.
20. Lennstrom F.
29. MacEachern C.
22. Salqvist I.
26. Degerstedt A.
96. Skager L.
Line 2
18. Thomsson T.
16. Froland D.
50. Ekberg T.
57. Ehrnberg C.
27. Larsson H.
73. Gradin A.
71. Treloar T.
83. Wikstrom J.
42. Tracey B.
24. Olsson H.
Line 3
49. Olerot J.
41. Hallquisth T.
4. Fransson M.
59. Wytinck Z.
28. Carlsson O.
88. Hellstrom F.
23. Olhaver G.
8. Nilsson A.
41. Sorensen R.
82. Forsmark F.
Line 4
54. Lindgren O.
6. Ernstig C.
40. Johansson F.
43. Arvedson A.
20. Weigelt G.
4. Wang Calle
11. Salmi-Lilja G.
10. Kakela L.
9. Warg L.
Substitutes
31. Hellgren M. (G)
37. Stalberg J. (G)
6. Stensland T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
14:20, 1 - 0, MacEachern C. (G), Karlstrom M. (A), Degerstedt A. (A2)
19:28, 1 - 1, Salqvist I. (G), Bergmanis A. (A), Hallquisth T. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:57, 1 - 2, Nilsson A. (G), Salqvist I. (A), Bergmanis A. (A2)
09:28, 2 - 2, Salmi-Lilja G. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
09:19, 2 - 3, Nilsson A. (G), Salqvist I. (A), Olsson H. (A2)
15:00, 3 - 3, MacEachern C. (G), Degerstedt A. (A), de Jong E. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 0)
1, Gradin A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Carlsson O. (Penalty Shot),
2, Lennstrom F. (Penalty Shot),
2, MacEachern C. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14 in the zone HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mora won 4.
Mora is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Troja Ljungby's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Mora is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Mora will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mora won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:24. (average 3.5:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Mora won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:6. (average 3:1).
Sweden
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Breivold T. (G) 
Holm V. (G) 
Bergmanis A. 
de Jong E. 
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