The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kalmar 71.9%
Draw 15%
Troja Ljungby 13.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.9%
16.1%
16.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.4%
15.5%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Troja Ljungby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troja Ljungby than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Kalmar - Troja Ljungby Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Malmqvist C. (G)
37. Stalberg J. (G)
27. Nilsson H. (C)
18. Hedberg T.
15. Lerby C. (A)
11. Bergmanis A.
90. Hawel L.
8. Nilsson A.
63. Fonteyne M.
83. Wikstrom J.
21. Struthers M.
82. Forsmark F.
Line 2
19. Sustr A.
16. Froland D. (C)
20. Walford S.
57. Ehrnberg C.
68. Levin E.
96. Skager L.
50. Ekmark E.
13. Wemmenborn A. (A)
14. Diaco G.
73. Gradin A.
Line 3
5. Aronsson T.
41. Hallquisth T.
9. Westlund W.
59. Wytinck Z.
91. Westlin A.
20. Lennstrom F. (A)
11. Wigley M.
22. Salqvist I.
18. Linden J.
88. Hellstrom F.
Line 4
4. Diliberatore P.
4. Wang Calle
71. Olsson G. (A)
6. Ernstig C.
43. Eckmyhl W.
9. Warg L.
94. Storm A.
10. Kakela L.
24. Olsson H.
Substitutes
65. Crespin J. (G)
35. Holm V. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
19:15, 1 - 0, Struthers M. (G), Wigley M. (A),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
02:19, 1 - 1, Kakela L. (G),
03:27, 2 - 1, Olsson G. (G), Levin E. (A), Diliberatore P. (A2)
12:33, 3 - 1, Diaco G. (G), Aronsson T. (A), Levin E. (A2)
15:18, 4 - 1, Levin E. (G), Diaco G. (A), Ekmark E. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
04:19, 5 - 1, Lerby C. (G), Linden J. (A), Hawel L. (A2)
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14 in the zone HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 5.
Kalmar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Troja Ljungby has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Kalmar is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Kalmar will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 51:39. (average 3.4:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Kalmar won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:17. (average 3.9:2.1).
Sweden
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Malmqvist C. (G) 
Nilsson H. (C) 
Bergmanis A. 
Hawel L. 
Sustr A. 
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