Match Info

2. Liga - West - Round 18

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Mostečtí Lvi		Děčín

	1	X	2
	1.74	4.05	3.14
	1.65	5.39	3.39	Watch
	1.75	4.45	3.32
	1.68	5.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.5)	4.85 ↓ (6)	3.2 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mostečtí Lvi
53.1%

Draw
18.7%

Děčín
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

15%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

14.3%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mostečtí Lvi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mostečtí Lvi's form might have worsened.

Děčín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mostečtí Lvi than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Děčín than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Mostečtí Lvi - Děčín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
19:31, 1 - 0, Nedrda V. (G), Kroupa J. (A), Vojir O. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:06, 1 - 1, Volosin T. (G), Postl O. (A), Tuma J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
05:48, 1 - 2, Tuma D. (G), Faigl T. (A), Kloz J. (A2)
08:06, 2 - 2, Simecek J. (G), Seemann V. (A), Simon M. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:18, 3 - 2, Kysela V. (G), Seemann V. (A), Helt F. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mostečtí Lvi won 4.

Mostečtí Lvi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Děčín has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Děčín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mostečtí Lvi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mostečtí Lvi won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 110:74. (average 5.5:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mostečtí Lvi won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 55:38. (average 5.5:3.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mostečtí Lvi
Czech 2 Liga Hockey West
22.11.25	Milevsko - Mostečtí Lvi	3:1 ✺
19.11.25	Mostečtí Lvi - Kobra Praha	3:4 ✺
13.11.25	Mostečtí Lvi - Příbram	2:4 ✺
05.11.25	Wikov Hronov - Mostečtí Lvi	5:2 ✺
01.11.25	Mostečtí Lvi - Písek	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW
- HC Děčín
Czech 2 Liga Hockey West
26.11.25	Příbram - Děčín	11:1 ✺
22.11.25	Děčín - Stadion Cheb	4:2 ✺
19.11.25	Děčín - Milevsko	2:4 ✺
12.11.25	Benátky nad Jizerou - Děčín	6:2 ✺
08.11.25	Děčín - Rebel Havlíčkův Brod	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 2 Liga Hockey West
08.10.25	Děčín - Mostečtí Lvi	3:4
19.02.25	Mostečtí Lvi - Děčín	3:2 OT
14.12.24	Děčín - Mostečtí Lvi	3:4 penalties
19.10.24	Mostečtí Lvi - Děčín	5:1
02.03.24	Mostečtí Lvi - Děčín	3:4
07.02.24	Děčín - Mostečtí Lvi	4:1
15.11.23	Děčín - Mostečtí Lvi	4:5

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