The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mountfield Hradec Králové 37.2%
Draw 23%
Sparta Prague 39.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
22.7%
43.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
25.3%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mountfield Hradec Králové has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mountfield Hradec Králové than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mountfield Hradec Králové that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sparta Prague could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Mountfield Hradec Králové - Sparta Prague Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Mountfield will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sparta Prague will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Vomacka T. (G)
32. Korenar J. (G)
12. McCormack G.
10. Pysyk M.
29. Kalina P.
36. Krejcik J. (A)
26. Jergl A.
14. Chlapik F. (C)
25. Tamasi A.
34. Spacek M.
94. Perret J. (A)
92. Sekac J.
Line 2
23. Melancon T.J.
5. Seppala M.
51. Vukojevic M.
4. Sirota J.
90. Kousal R.
28. Blumel M.
34. Klima Kev.
94. Shore D.
62. Pilar R.
26. Repik M. (A)
Line 3
89. Mudrak D.
97. Masin D.
40. Koch A.
82. Tomov N.
7. Nenonen M.
23. Kousal P.
48. Cacho V.
91. Vesalainen K.
46. Kohout M. (A)
41. Danicek M.
Line 4
74. Modry J.
80. Seppala N.
4. Sykora D.
11. Hrabik K.
69. Radil L. (C)
46. Najman O.
56. Miskar P.
38. Hyka T.
98. Pavlik R.
Substitutes
2. Kasal J. (G)
43. Kovar J. (G)
Coaches
. Martinec T.
. Augusta P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 1)
01:56, Tomov N. (2 min),
02:03, 1 - 0, Koch A. (G), Kousal R. (A),
03:54, 2 - 0, Tamasi A. (G), Mudrak D. (A), Perret J. (A2)
04:49, 3 - 0, Radil L. (G), Pavlik R. (A), Koch A. (A2)
10:54, Cacho V. (2 min),
10:54, Sekac J. (2 min),
16:10, Chlapik F. (2 min),
18:18, 3 - 1, Chlapik F. (G), Spacek M. (A),
19:36, Radil L. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:49, (2 min),
06:46, Klima Kev. (5 min),
06:46, Seppala N. (5 min),
10:41, 3 - 2, Masin D. (G), Blumel M. (A), Tomov N. (A2)
12:30, 4 - 2, Pilar R. (G), Sykora D. (A), Koch A. (A2)
15:25, (2 min),
17:07, Pavlik R. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:00, Klima Kev. (2 min),
05:37, 4 - 3, Sekac J. (G), Chlapik F. (A), Pysyk M. (A2)
10:54, Sekac J. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mountfield won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Mountfield could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Mountfield: Miskar P.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Sparta Prague: Dzierkals M.
(Shoulder Injury)
Horak R.
(Knee Injury)
Raska A.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Mountfield: Planek M.
(Leg Injury)
Skorvanek S.
(Personal Reasons)
Zdrahal P.
(Health problems).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mountfield has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 43:50 (averaging 2.2:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mountfield against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 29:22 goals (averaging 3.2:2.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
7
Mountfield HK
9
3
2
0
4
25:25
13
10
Sparta Prague
9
3
0
2
4
28:28
11
Last Results with these Odds
Mountfield Hradec Králové - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.59%, but this team recently wins 19% of matches with these odds.
Sparta Prague - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.