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Current Win Probability
Mountfield Hradec Králové 43.3%
Draw 23%
Energie Karlovy Vary 33.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.1%
23%
36.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
24.2%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mountfield Hradec Králové has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Energie Karlovy Vary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mountfield Hradec Králové than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mountfield Hradec Králové that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Energie Karlovy Vary than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Energie Karlovy Vary could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mountfield Hradec Králové - Energie Karlovy Vary Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Skorvanek S. (G)
0. Frodl D. (G)
12. McCormack G.
6. Koci M.
29. Kalina P.
9. Brickley D.
69. Radil L. (A)
8. Beranek O. (A)
56. Miskar P.
21. Cernoch J. (C)
98. Pavlik R.
15. Minarik J.
Line 2
89. Mudrak D.
55. Mamcics R.
40. Koch A.
4. Schmiemann Q.
26. Jergl A.
86. Bambula J.
25. Tamasi A.
18. Jones N.
94. Perret J. (A)
29. Stastny D.
Line 3
23. Melancon T.J.
7. Eronen E.
51. Vukojevic M.
24. Mysak J. (A)
7. Nenonen M.
12. Tomek P.
34. Klima Kev.
10. Egle H.
96. Zdrahal P.
11. Sapousek R.
Line 4
9. Planek M. (C)
70. Lukosik A.
90. Kousal R.
23. Jiskra V.
48. Cacho V.
17. Redlich T.
46. Kohout M.
Substitutes
62. Pilar R.
31. Kral D. (G)
33. Vomacka T. (G)
Coaches
. Martinec T.
. Patera P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
02:36, 0 - 1, Beranek O. (G), Brickley D. (A), Jiskra V. (A2)
05:11, 0 - 2, Schmiemann Q. (G), Beranek O. (A), Cernoch J. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
01:36, 0 - 3, Stastny D. (G), Jones N. (A),
01:56, Kohout M. (2 min),
02:41, Perret J. (2 min),
04:20, 1 - 3, Klima Kev. (G), Kohout M. (A),
09:57, 2 - 3, Vukojevic M. (G), Perret J. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:10, 3 - 3, Perret J. (G), McCormack G. (A), Jergl A. (A2)
07:38, Jones N. (2 min),
11:58, Koci M. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:07, 3 - 4, Brickley D. (G),
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mountfield won 0.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Mountfield could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Doubtful / questionable for Mountfield: Kalina P.
(Hand Injury)
Skorvanek S.
(Illness).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mountfield has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 56:54 (averaging 2.8:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mountfield against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 26:30 goals (averaging 2.6:3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Karlovy Vary
15
7
2
0
6
36:27
25
6
Mountfield HK
15
6
2
1
6
40:38
23
Outrights of Czech Extraliga for now
Karlovy Vary: 3.77% Mountfield HK: 2.59%
Last Results with these Odds
Energie Karlovy Vary - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.91%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Czech Republic
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Skorvanek S. (G) 
Frodl D. (G) 
McCormack G. 
Brickley D. 
Mamcics R. 
Koch A. 
Perret J. (A) 
Eronen E. 
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