Match Info

USHL - Play Offs - Final

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Muskegon Lumberjacks		Sioux Falls Stampede

	1	X	2
	3.01	4.62	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.22)	4.62 ↑ (3.97)	1.86 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Muskegon Lumberjacks
30.6%

Draw
19.9%

Sioux Falls Stampede
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

23.2%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

25%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Muskegon Lumberjacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Sioux Falls Stampede has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muskegon Lumberjacks than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sioux Falls Stampede than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
08:20, 1 - 0, Christ J. (G), Amico C. (A), Thomas-Maroon A. (A2)
10:37, 1 - 1, Monteiro J. (G), Zocco T. (A), Macrina J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
13:23, 1 - 2, Solomon B. (G), Soller C. (A), Jakobsen M. (A2)
17:20, 2 - 2, Jonerheim L. (G), Vukas B. (A), Cullen M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:35, 2 - 3, Monteiro J. (G), McGraw J. (A), Weil W. (A2)
18:22, 3 - 3, Novotny M. (G), Belusko A. (A), Norringer V. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
06:43, 3 - 4, Macrina J. (G),

Preview

Sioux Falls Stampede leads series 2-1. Third leg. 2 extra times played.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muskegon won 2.

Muskegon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sioux Falls is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sioux Falls will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Muskegon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 2.7:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Muskegon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 3.7:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Muskegon Lumberjacks
USHL
22.05.26	Muskegon Lumberjacks - Sioux Falls Stampede	4:3 OT ✺
16.05.26	Sioux Falls Stampede - Muskegon Lumberjacks	3:0 ✺
15.05.26	Sioux Falls Stampede - Muskegon Lumberjacks	3:1 ✺
11.05.26	Muskegon Lumberjacks - Madison Capitols	6:2 ✺
09.05.26	Madison Capitols - Muskegon Lumberjacks	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLWW
- Sioux Falls Stampede
USHL
22.05.26	Muskegon Lumberjacks - Sioux Falls Stampede	4:3 OT ✺
16.05.26	Sioux Falls Stampede - Muskegon Lumberjacks	3:0 ✺
15.05.26	Sioux Falls Stampede - Muskegon Lumberjacks	3:1 ✺
12.05.26	Sioux Falls Stampede - Fargo Force	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Fargo Force - Sioux Falls Stampede	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

USHL
22.05.26	Muskegon Lumberjacks - Sioux Falls Stampede	4:3 OT
16.05.26	Sioux Falls Stampede - Muskegon Lumberjacks	3:0
15.05.26	Sioux Falls Stampede - Muskegon Lumberjacks	3:1
17.02.19	Muskegon Lumberjacks - Sioux Falls Stampede	2:3
16.02.19	Muskegon Lumberjacks - Sioux Falls Stampede	5:3
18.11.17	Sioux Falls Stampede - Muskegon Lumberjacks	7:4
17.11.17	Sioux Falls Stampede - Muskegon Lumberjacks	5:3

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