Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Niagara Purple Eagles		Mercyhurst Lakers

	1	X	2
	2.01	4.3	2.65
	2.03	4.05	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.99)	4.18 ↓ (4.4)	2.72 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niagara Purple Eagles
44.9%

Draw
21.7%

Mercyhurst Lakers
33.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.6%

20.6%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

21.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niagara Purple Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Mercyhurst Lakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niagara Purple Eagles than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercyhurst Lakers than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Niagara Purple Eagles - Mercyhurst Lakers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mercyhurst may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mercyhurst has had a series of away games.

Niagara might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 2.6:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Niagara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 2.8:4.3).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Niagara Purple Eagles: 0.46%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niagara Purple Eagles hockey
NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Niagara Purple Eagles	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Robert Morris Colonials - Niagara Purple Eagles	5:1 ✺
13.02.26	Niagara Purple Eagles - Robert Morris Colonials	5:2 ✺
10.02.26	RIT Tigers - Niagara Purple Eagles	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Niagara Purple Eagles - Air Force Falcons	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLW
- Mercyhurst Lakers hockey
NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Niagara Purple Eagles	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Air Force Falcons - Mercyhurst Lakers	5:4 ✺
13.02.26	Air Force Falcons - Mercyhurst Lakers	3:4 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Sacred Heart Pioneers - Mercyhurst Lakers	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Sacred Heart Pioneers - Mercyhurst Lakers	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
20.02.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Niagara Purple Eagles	3:2
17.01.26	Niagara Purple Eagles - Mercyhurst Lakers	2:4
16.01.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Niagara Purple Eagles	3:0
24.02.24	Mercyhurst Lakers - Niagara Purple Eagles	3:4
22.02.24	Niagara Purple Eagles - Mercyhurst Lakers	1:6
20.02.24	Mercyhurst Lakers - Niagara Purple Eagles	1:4
21.10.23	Niagara Purple Eagles - Mercyhurst Lakers	3:4 penalties

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