Match Info

Ligue Magnus - Round 23

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Palais des sports Jean-Bouin (Nice)


	Nice		Gap

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.71	4.45	3.4
	1.71	4.38	3.03
	1.78	4.83	3.34	Watch
	1.7	4.4	3.4
	1.73	4.15	3.59
	1.74	4.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.78)	4.45 ↑ (4.2)	3.33 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nice
52.4%

Draw
20.4%

Gap
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

22.1%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

21.6%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Gap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Nice - Gap Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Shank A. (G)	30. Zimmermann M. (G)
12. Cherkowski N.	86. Cerda J.
9. Cirgues L.	9. Cerda P.
54. Coffy V.	20. Chauvel R.
72. Coulaud L.	32. Cruchandeau C.
27. Desgagnes M.	48. Dorey A.
93. Johansson R. (A)	27. Everaert E.
73. Larinmaa J.	73. Gagnon R. (A)
19. Lefebvre J.	7. Langlais C. (C)
78. Loizeau T. (A)	89. Linjala M.
91. McKinney H.	53. Matus R. (A)
82. Morillon C.	4. Mikrogiannakis D.
92. Nobes A.	14. Murnieks D.
98. Nogaretto H.	95. Orlov M.
25. Proux H.	49. Pulkkinen T.
6. Regis S.	12. Raabe D.
22. Ruel N. (C)	15. Santerno L.
29. Salve Y.	91. Siraudin P.
	77. Ten Braak B.
Substitutes
61. Charpentier I. (G)	38. Richard G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 2)
05:43, 0 - 1, Pulkkinen T. (G), Murnieks D. (A),
11:51, 1 - 1, Cherkowski N. (G), Desgagnes M. (A), Morillon C. (A2)
14:35, 2 - 1, McKinney H. (G),
18:16, 3 - 1, Cirgues L. (G), Ruel N. (A), Larinmaa J. (A2)
19:04, 3 - 2, Langlais C. (G), Murnieks D. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
05:43, 4 - 2, Desgagnes M. (G), Cherkowski N. (A), Morillon C. (A2)
11:38, 5 - 2, Proux H. (G), Nogaretto H. (A), Nobes A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:22, 5 - 3, Cerda J. (G), Raabe D. (A), Dorey A. (A2)
19:24, 6 - 3, Nogaretto H. (G), Larinmaa J. (A), Morillon C. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 3.

Nice has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gap is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nice could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 53:60. (average 2.7:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 2.3:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nice Hockey Côte dAzur
French Ligue Magnus
02.12.25	Chamonix - Nice	2:3 OT ✺
30.11.25	Nice - Amiens	1:3 ✺
28.11.25	Anglet - Nice	4:3 OT ✺
23.11.25	Nice - Gap	4:1 ✺
21.11.25	Spartiates de Marseille - Nice	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL
- Rapaces de Gap
French Ligue Magnus
02.12.25	Gap - Rouen	5:4 ✺
30.11.25	Spartiates de Marseille - Gap	4:1 ✺
28.11.25	Gap - Cergy-Pontoise	0:3 ✺
French Hockey Cup
26.11.25	Gap - Chamonix	3:4 ✺
French Ligue Magnus
23.11.25	Nice - Gap	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue Magnus
23.11.25	Nice - Gap	4:1
28.09.25	Gap - Nice	0:2
26.01.25	Gap - Nice	3:2 penalties
20.12.24	Nice - Gap	1:2 OT
24.11.24	Nice - Gap	3:2
18.10.24	Gap - Nice	5:4
01.03.24	Gap - Nice	0:3

Nice - Gap: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide