The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nice 57.8%
Draw 20.3%
Gap 22%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.4%
21.1%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.7%
22.8%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Gap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nice that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gap than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Nice - Gap Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Shank A. (G)
30. Scarfone T. (G)
16. Anderson F.
79. Abramov N. (A)
12. Cherkowski N.
15. Bouvet M.
9. Cirgues L.
48. Dorey A.
37. Colombin L.
7. Escallier A.
77. Druskinis J.
13. Esipov I.
44. Gagnon A.
19. Fauchon Q.
55. Gagnon M.
88. Kebets A.
19. Lefebvre J.
12. Kyte P.
78. Loizeau T. (A)
40. Manciot B.
82. Morillon C.
53. Matus R. (C)
29. Nobes A.
14. Murnieks D.
98. Nogaretto H.
24. Nicholson R.
6. Regis S. (A)
93. Nieminen K.
10. Rommel H.
73. Raveaud H.
22. Ruel N.
29. Simond C.
4. St-Laurent E.
17. Tsekos Z. (A)
11. Toukmatchev M.
16. Zago B.
91. Vigners R. (C)
Substitutes
61. Charpentier I. (G)
57. Darier J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
06:04, 1 - 0, Toukmatchev M. (G), Druskinis J. (A), Regis S. (A2)
07:43, 2 - 0, Druskinis J. (G), Gagnon A. (A), Gagnon M. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
05:53, 2 - 1, Nieminen K. (G),
11:29, 3 - 1, Druskinis J. (G), Vigners R. (A), Anderson F. (A2)
19:27, 4 - 1, Rommel H. (G), Cherkowski N. (A), Regis S. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
12:32, 5 - 1, Vigners R. (G), Anderson F. (A), Regis S. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Nice (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Gap have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Nice for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nice has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:62 (averaging 2.8:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nice against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 28:28 goals (averaging 2.8:2.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Nice
13
5
1
1
6
38:42
18
10
Gap
13
3
2
1
7
31:48
14
Last Results with these Odds
Gap - the odds 3.75 are the expected chance of winning is 24.46%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.