The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartiates de Marseille 61.1%
Draw 19.8%
Gap 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.3%
18.2%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.8%
18.9%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartiates de Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Gap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartiates de Marseille than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Spartiates de Marseille - Gap Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Kasik L. (G)
30. Scarfone T. (G)
74. Bourgeois F. (A)
79. Abramov N. (A)
41. Cantagallo E.
15. Bouvet M.
16. Colotti F. (C)
11. Brassard J.
17. Coulaud Y.
9. Collin C.
23. Dair F.
48. Dorey A.
44. Dufek J. (A)
7. Escallier A.
21. Gradin A.
13. Esipov I.
8. Ishida R.
19. Fauchon Q.
38. Ivanov S.
12. Kyte P.
12. Joubert P.
40. Manciot B.
13. Larinmaa J.
53. Matus R. (C)
95. Limtong S.
14. Murnieks D.
27. MacIntyre B.
24. Nicholson R.
98. Nilsson A.
93. Nieminen K.
53. Petersson B.
73. Raveaud H.
86. Quattrone T.
29. Simond C.
24. Spinozzi K.
17. Tsekos Z. (A)
29. Tavernier E.
16. Zago B.
Substitutes
33. Gourdin F. (G)
57. Darier J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
04:57, 0 - 1, Esipov I. (G), Murnieks D. (A), Fauchon Q. (A2)
19:33, 1 - 1, Larinmaa J. (G), MacIntyre B. (A), Joubert P. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
08:57, 2 - 1, Gradin A. (G), Bourgeois F. (A), Coulaud Y. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
10:07, 3 - 1, Limtong S. (G), Dair F. (A), Colotti F. (A2)
13:42, 4 - 1, Dufek J. (G),
18:10, 4 - 2, Bouvet M. (G), Tsekos Z. (A), Collin C. (A2)
19:55, 5 - 2, Joubert P. (G), MacIntyre B. (A), Petersson B. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 4.
Marseille is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Gap has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Marseille is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Marseille in today's match, at odds of 1.48.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Marseille has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:32 (averaging 2.9:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Marseille against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 20:10 goals (averaging 3.3:1.7 per game).