The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nidaros 40.9%
Draw 22.3%
Lillehammer 36.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.9%
22.7%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
23.3%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nidaros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Lillehammer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nidaros than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillehammer than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Nidaros - Lillehammer Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
60. Lebedeff D. (G)
70. Halonen N. (G)
44. York J.
15. Soudsky R. A.
11. Backehag A.
39. Juusola V.
16. Bjurstrom A.
21. Ellingsen M.
14. Siironen T.
26. Eidsa Arnestad J.
23. Wisten L.
16. Ellingsen A.
Line 2
3. Ohman A.
47. Sevanen R.
79. Vedul-Kjelsas S.
13. Kristiansen M.
95. Fransson L.
19. Fredriksen V.
71. Stormli H.
57. Hartikainen S.
33. Bah A.
23. Skarpjordet P.
Line 3
18. Gullhav W.
12. Ondrcka L.
86. Klofutar T.
10. Strand M.
29. Gjos E.
28. Langland O.
36. Indergaard O.
98. Leibnitz J.
47. Rimjans L.
77. Olsen M.
Line 4
5. Sando Gagnas N.
8. Nilsson D.
68. Andresen M.
55. Genlid E. K.
9. Bye F. V.
14. Evjen N.
Substitutes
31. Darnell O. (G)
31. Morck A. (G)
Coaches
. Wallson V.
. Martikainen S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
00:28, 1 - 0, Bjurstrom A. (G), Wisten L. (A), Backehag A. (A2)
06:47, Indergaard O. (2 min),
11:15, Leibnitz J. (2 min),
12:22, 2 - 0, Siironen T. (G), Wisten L. (A), Bjurstrom A. (A2)
14:20, Genlid E. K. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:38, Ohman A. (2 min),
09:16, 3 - 0, Rimjans L. (G), Gjos E. (A),
15:08, Backehag A. (2 min),
16:46, 3 - 1, Fredriksen V. (G), Hartikainen S. (A), Sevanen R. (A2)
18:06, Juusola V. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
00:29, Sevanen R. (2 min),
04:57, 3 - 2, Olsen M. (G), Langland O. (A),
05:29, Rimjans L. (2 min),
08:48, Juusola V. (2 min),
14:17, 4 - 2, Bah A. (G), Indergaard O. (A),
16:27, 5 - 2, Wisten L. (G),
19:35, Stormli H. (2 min),
19:47, Gullhav W. (2 min),
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - EHL Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 8th in the Promotion - EHL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nidaros won 4.
In recent outings, Nidaros has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Lillehammer has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Lillehammer may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Nidaros has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:22 (averaging 3.8:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nidaros against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 20:13 goals (averaging 4:2.6 per game).