Match Info

Tipsport liga - Round 28

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport


	Nitra		HC Dukla Trenčín

	1	X	2
	1.59	4.75	4
	1.6	4.55	4.3	Watch
	1.58	3.97	3.83
	1.65	4.38	4.28	Watch
	1.53	4.4	4
	1.6	4.35	4.27
	1.55	4.3	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.64)	4.39 (4.39)	4.13 ↓ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nitra
57.3%

Draw
20.7%

HC Dukla Trenčín
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

21.2%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

21.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nitra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

HC Dukla Trenčín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nitra than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC Dukla Trenčín than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Nitra - HC Dukla Trenčín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Patrikainen J. (G)	34. Hrenak D. (G)
44. Osburn Z.	8. Goljer A.
2. Baca M.	2. Mikus J.
67. Paulovic M. (A)	4. Descheneau J.
13. Kristof M. (C)	22. Varone P.
80. Hrnka T. (A)	61. Ahl F.
Line 2
64. Graham J.	23. Drgon A.
15. Carmichael E.	79. Laurencik M.
91. Jackson R.	13. Baptiste N.
92. Bubela M.	9. Siska J.
12. Passolt J.	15. Bellerive J.
Line 3
17. Vitalos M.	33. Hatala A.
16. Stacha M.	19. Starosta T.
39. Lacka J.	93. Bezuch J.
27. Cederle S.	91. Krajc S.
88. Okolicany D.	35. Hudec D.
Line 4
8. Kostenko D.	18. Kalis M.
28. Kalman A.	25. Urban J.
96. Molnar O.	14. Krajcovic A.
29. Chrenko T.	17. Stransky A.
18. Nemec A.	71. Maruna O.
Substitutes
30. Berzinec J. (G)	80. Junca J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
07:01, 0 - 1, Ahl F. (G), Varone P. (A), Laurencik M. (A2)
07:31, 1 - 1, Passolt J. (G), Bubela M. (A),
13:19, 1 - 2, Descheneau J. (Penalty Shot),
14:05, 2 - 2, Okolicany D. (G), Lacka J. (A), Cederle S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
09:49, 2 - 3, Varone P. (G), Goljer A. (A), Descheneau J. (A2)
11:43, 2 - 4, Descheneau J. (G), Varone P. (A), Ahl F. (A2)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tipsport liga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Tipsport liga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nitra won 1.

Recent form of Nitra has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dukla Trenčín has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Nitra is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nitra won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 79:54. (average 4:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Nitra won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:28. (average 3.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Nitra - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.66%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

HC Dukla Trenčín - the odds 4.19 are the expected chance of winning is 22.18%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Nitra
Slovak Extraliga
12.12.25	MsHK Žilina - Nitra	6:4 ✺
07.12.25	Nitra - Liptovský Mikuláš	3:4 ✺
05.12.25	Nitra - Slovan Bratislava	2:5 ✺
30.11.25	Nitra - HC Dukla Trenčín	2:5 ✺
28.11.25	MsHK Žilina - Nitra	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW
- HC Dukla Trenčín
Slovak Extraliga
12.12.25	HC Dukla Trenčín - Slovan Bratislava	3:4 penalties ✺
07.12.25	Prešov - HC Dukla Trenčín	3:2 ✺
05.12.25	HC Dukla Trenčín - Zvolen	5:3 ✺
30.11.25	Nitra - HC Dukla Trenčín	2:5 ✺
28.11.25	HC Dukla Trenčín - Spišská Nová Ves	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Extraliga
30.11.25	Nitra - HC Dukla Trenčín	2:5
19.10.25	HC Dukla Trenčín - Nitra	1:4
14.09.25	Nitra - HC Dukla Trenčín	2:3 penalties
31.01.25	Nitra - HC Dukla Trenčín	0:4
05.01.25	HC Dukla Trenčín - Nitra	5:2
20.12.24	Nitra - HC Dukla Trenčín	4:1
26.11.24	HC Dukla Trenčín - Nitra	1:7

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