Match Info

Tipsport liga - Round 43

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 1
Slovakia	JOJ Play, Sport 1


	Nitra		Banská Bystrica

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.5	3.5
	1.74	4.4	3.6	Watch
	1.73	3.91	3.27
	1.79	4.37	3.56	Watch
	1.67	4.2	3.4
	1.74	4.33	3.53
	1.74	4.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 (1.73)	4.29 ↑ (4.22)	3.47 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nitra
52.5%

Draw
21.2%

Banská Bystrica
26.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.1%

21.8%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

22.5%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nitra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Banská Bystrica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nitra than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banská Bystrica than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Nitra - Banská Bystrica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Patrikainen J. (G)	88. Rabcan E. (G)
44. Osburn Z.	7. Lucas A.
24. Mezei B.	44. Galipeau O.
67. Paulovic M.	98. Turnbull C.
13. Kristof M.	10. Myklukha O.
12. Passolt J.	9. Faith R.
Line 2
64. Graham J.	2. Lee J.
2. Baca M.	6. Zabka B.
91. Jackson R.	28. Kukuca A.
29. Chrenko T.	55. Valach M.
11. Lawrence J.	72. Kabac M.
Line 3
17. Vitalos M.	54. Cesanek B.
16. Stacha M.	75. Michalcin C.
39. Lacka J.	18. Jasenec M.
27. Cederle S.	97. Gron S.
96. Molnar O.	21. Matousek T.
Line 4
81. Csanyi K.	93. Cunderlik M.
28. Kalman A.	11. Meszaros K.
9. Kovac H.	87. Sedliacik M.
92. Bubela M.	19. Ondrusek R.
80. Hrnka T.	23. Tomka L.
Substitutes
31. Gadzhiev S. (G)	30. Mitens M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
00:57, 1 - 0, Jackson R. (G), Lawrence J. (A), Graham J. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
12:34, 2 - 0, Bubela M. (G), Hrnka T. (A), Kalman A. (A2)
17:41, 3 - 0, Passolt J. (G), Paulovic M. (A), Osburn Z. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
14:11, 3 - 1, Turnbull C. (G), Lucas A. (A), Myklukha O. (A2)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tipsport liga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tipsport liga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nitra won 3.

Nitra is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Banská Bystrica has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Nitra is a strong favorite.

We predict that Nitra will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nitra won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 67:59. (average 3.4:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nitra won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:21. (average 3.9:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Ban. Bystrica	11	4	2	1	4	35:31	17
10	Nitra	12	3	2	1	6	33:36	14

Outrights of Slovak Extraliga for now

Nitra: 10.44% Ban. Bystrica: 4.26%

Last Results with these Odds

Nitra - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.09%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Banská Bystrica - the odds 3.66 are the expected chance of winning is 25.11%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Nitra
Slovak Extraliga
25.01.26	Prešov - Nitra	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Nitra - Zvolen	2:3 OT ✺
20.01.26	Nitra - Dukla Michalovce	5:1 ✺
18.01.26	Poprad - Nitra	2:5 ✺
16.01.26	Spišská Nová Ves - Nitra	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWW
- HC 05 Banska Bystrica
Slovak Extraliga
25.01.26	Spišská Nová Ves - Banská Bystrica	5:2 ✺
23.01.26	HC Košice - Banská Bystrica	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Banská Bystrica - Spišská Nová Ves	6:4 ✺
18.01.26	Banská Bystrica - Dukla Michalovce	5:4 penalties ✺
16.01.26	Liptovský Mikuláš - Banská Bystrica	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Extraliga
05.01.26	Banská Bystrica - Nitra	5:2
21.12.25	Nitra - Banská Bystrica	2:3 OT
26.11.25	Banská Bystrica - Nitra	1:8
12.10.25	Nitra - Banská Bystrica	4:1
07.03.25	Banská Bystrica - Nitra	2:4
28.01.25	Nitra - Banská Bystrica	5:2
30.12.24	Nitra - Banská Bystrica	3:2 OT

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