The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Bay Battalion 21.6%
Draw 18.6%
Brantford Bulldogs 59.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.8%
18.5%
51.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
20.4%
46.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Bay Battalion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Bay Battalion's form might have worsened.
Brantford Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brantford Bulldogs's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Bay Battalion than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Bay Battalion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brantford Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brantford Bulldogs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. LIsson J. (G)
88. Egorov D. (G)
29. Amidovski L. (A)
9. Benak A.
13. Barch H.
11. Boulton R.
17. Cali R.
14. Chamberlain R.
11. Carey R.
77. Danford B. (A)
18. Dubrovtsev Y.
24. Dennis C.
4. Enright A.
29. Dravecky V.
26. Gervais S.
15. Engle E.
5. Greer K.
86. Frasca G.
6. Harper B.
53. Holmes P.
19. Laird N. (A)
5. Jiricek A.
2. Manzo A.
17. Luchanko J.
24. Moses S.
27. Malhotra C.
21. Procyszyn E. (C)
44. O'Brien J. (C)
20. Pronin A.
23. Paquette C. (A)
25. Ride B. (A)
12. Protz O. (A)
16. Vaughan P.
72. Sandhu Z.
14. Warren C.
91. Testa L.
28. Wellenreiter N.
78. Vanacker M.
Substitutes
34. McIvor M. (G)
31. Leenders R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 3)
07:11, 0 - 1, Frasca G. (G), Benak A. (A), Testa L. (A2)
07:31, 0 - 2, Jiricek A. (G), O'Brien J. (A), Protz O. (A2)
13:44, 0 - 3, Holmes P. (G), Jiricek A. (A),
17:08, 1 - 3, Carey R. (G), Dubrovtsev Y. (A), Pronin A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
01:17, 2 - 3, Moses S. (G),
09:39, 3 - 3, Vaughan P. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
08:14, 3 - 4, O'Brien J. (G), Luchanko J. (A), Vanacker M. (A2)
19:43, 3 - 5, Vanacker M. (G), Paquette C. (A),
Preview
Brantford Bulldogs leads series 3-0. Fourth leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Bay won 1.
Recent performances by North Bay have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Brantford is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Brantford could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Bay won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 57:77. (average 2.9:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, North Bay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 3.3:2.8).
Last Results with these Odds
North Bay Battalion - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.84%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
Brantford Bulldogs - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 51.63%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.