Match Info

World Championship

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: BCF-Arena (Fribourg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN 4, TSN+
Czech-republic	CT sport, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Box Go, Polsat Sport 1
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport
Usa	NHL Network
World	IIHF TV


	Norway		Denmark

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.5	3.9	Watch
	1.71	4.5	4.25	Watch
	1.74	4.35	3.97
	1.6	4.77	4.63	Watch
	1.62	4.33	3.9
	1.62	4.76	4.55	Watch
	2.95	4.2	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (3.1)	4.49 ↑ (4.4)	3.88 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norway
52.9%

Draw
21.8%

Denmark
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

21.8%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

23.1%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Norway's performance.

Denmark has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denmark might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norway than the current prediction. (-23.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norway that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denmark than the current prediction. (+25.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denmark could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Norway - Denmark Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Norway will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Denmark will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norway: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Norway (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Haukeland H. (G) Straubing Tigers	30. Sogaard M. (G) Ottawa Senators
43. Krogdahl M. (A)	42. Bruggisser P. Pinguins Bremerhaven
49. Kasastul C. (A) Frisk Asker	41. Jensen J. (C) Klagenfurt
28. Brandsegg-Nygard M. Detroit Red Wings	29. Aagaard M. (A) Skelleftea
44. Koblar T. Rogle	63. Russell P. (A) Kolner Haie
27. Martinsen A. (C) Storhamar	95. Olesen N. Ceske Budejovice
Line 2
4. Johannesen J. Pelicans Lahti	36. Baastrup D. Odense Bulldogs
72. Solberg S. Anaheim Ducks	40. Koch A. Graz 99ers
18. Olsen T. Visp	38. Poulsen M. Herning Blue Fox
71. Bakke Olsen E. Linkoping	11. True A. JYP Jyvaskyla
13. Vesterheim P. Malmo	86. Blichfeld J. Tappara
Line 3
54. Hurrod S. Storhamar	3. Setkov M. JYP Jyvaskyla
29. Ostby K. Stavanger	22. Lauridsen M. Val Pusteria
22. Ronnild M. Storhamar	77. From M. Kiekko-Espoo
17. Salsten E.	6. Kjaer O. Esbjerg Energy
20. Pettersen E. Djurgarden	9. Storm F. Kolner Haie
Line 4
47. Danielsen A. Valerenga	33. Jensen M. Rungsted
24. Berglund J. Storhamar	72. Schultz P. Esbjerg Energy
19. Salsten H. Djurgarden	82. Madsen D. Vasteras
12. Steen N. Syracuse Crunch	54. Scheel F. Schwenninger
Substitutes
21. Eriksen M. Farjestad	1. Henriksen N. (G) Esbjerg Energy
30. Normann T. (G) Frolunda	39. Schmidt-Svejstrup J. Sonderjyske
Coaches
. Thoresen P.	. Gath M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
03:19, (2 min),
11:55, 1 - 0, Koblar T. (G), Martinsen A. (A), Brandsegg-Nygard M. (A2)
15:18, Ronnild M. (2 min),
16:09, Krogdahl M. (2 min),
16:09, Aagaard M. (2 min),
16:09, Olesen N. (2 min),
17:47, (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
01:46, Kjaer O. (2 min),
04:53, Steen N. (2 min),
04:53, Blichfeld J. (2 min),
07:53, 1 - 1, Blichfeld J. (G),
09:36, Schultz P. (2 min),
10:42, 2 - 1, Martinsen A. (G), Olsen T. (A), Hurrod S. (A2)
14:00, 3 - 1, Koblar T. (G), Krogdahl M. (A), Kasastul C. (A2)
14:49, Pettersen E. (2 min),
15:02, 3 - 2, Blichfeld J. (G), Olesen N. (A), Bruggisser P. (A2)
16:56, Jensen J. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:25, Schultz P. (5 min),
03:10, Koblar T. (2 min),
19:58, 3 - 3, Russell P. (G), True A. (A), Aagaard M. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:13, 4 - 3, Brandsegg-Nygard M. (G), Hurrod S. (A), Bakke Olsen E. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norway won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Norway may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Norway is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Norway will win today's game, with odds of 1.96.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Norway won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 45:55. (average 2.3:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norway hockey
IIHF World Championship
25.05.26	Czech Republic - Norway	1:4 ✺
23.05.26	Norway - Sweden	3:2 ✺
21.05.26	Canada - Norway	6:5 OT ✺
19.05.26	Italy - Norway	0:4 ✺
17.05.26	Norway - Slovenia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 64.4 WWLWW
- Denmark hockey
IIHF World Championship
24.05.26	Denmark - Italy	3:2 penalties ✺
23.05.26	Denmark - Slovenia	4:0 ✺
21.05.26	Denmark - Slovakia	1:5 ✺
18.05.26	Canada - Denmark	5:1 ✺
17.05.26	Denmark - Sweden	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Ice Hockey
30.04.26	Denmark - Norway	3:1
European Cup of Nations Hockey
08.11.25	Denmark - Norway	2:3 OT
IIHF World Championship
17.05.25	Denmark - Norway	6:3
Friendly International Ice Hockey
07.02.25	Norway - Denmark	5:2
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey
01.09.24	Denmark - Norway	4:1
IIHF World Championship
14.05.24	Denmark - Norway	0:2
Friendly International Ice Hockey
27.04.24	Norway - Denmark	2:1 OT

Norway - Denmark: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide