Match Info

World Championship - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: BCF-Arena (Fribourg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Poland	Polsat Box Go, Polsat Sport Fight
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Norway		Latvia

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.8	2.65	Watch
	2.45	3.95	2.6	Watch
	2.39	3.95	2.59
	2.56	3.99	2.43	Watch
	2.3	3.9	2.4
	2.46	4.02	2.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.43)	3.94 ↓ (4.26)	2.55 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norway
38.9%

Draw
24%

Latvia
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

22.6%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

22.5%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norway has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Latvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norway than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Latvia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Norway - Latvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Norway will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Latvia will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norway: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Norway (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Latvia (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Norway (votes: 1 - 50%). Latvia (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Haukeland H. (G) Straubing Tigers	50. Gudlevskis K. (G) Pinguins Bremerhaven
43. Krogdahl M. (A)	27. Cibulskis O. Herning Blue Fox
49. Kasastul C. (A) Frisk Asker	3. Smits A. Munchen
28. Brandsegg-Nygard M. Detroit Red Wings	21. Balcers R. (C) Zurich
44. Koblar T. Rogle	73. Smirnovs D. Kloten
27. Martinsen A. (C) Storhamar	23. Vilmanis S. Charlotte Checkers
Line 2
4. Johannesen J. Pelicans Lahti	5. Andzans A. Hameenlinna
72. Solberg S. Anaheim Ducks	29. Freibergs R. (A) Olomouc
22. Ronnild M. Storhamar	17. Dzierkals M. Sparta Prague
17. Salsten E.	97. Egle H. Karlovy Vary
26. Elvsveen P. Stavanger	34. Tralmaks E. Detroit Red Wings
Line 3
54. Hurrod S. Storhamar	55. Mamcics R. Karlovy Vary
29. Ostby K. Stavanger	77. Zile K. (A) Liberec
20. Pettersen E. Djurgarden	22. Andersons T. La Chaux-de-Fonds
71. Bakke Olsen E. Linkoping	95. Batna O. Pelicans Lahti
13. Vesterheim P. Malmo	9. Krastenbergs R.
Line 4
47. Danielsen A. Valerenga	42. Tumanovs M. Jokerit
24. Berglund J. Storhamar	37. Lapinskis O. Langnau Tigers
19. Salsten H. Djurgarden	12. Prohorenkovs G. Niagara Purple Eagles
12. Steen N. Syracuse Crunch	87. Skrastins K. New Hampshire Wildcats
Substitutes
30. Normann T. (G) Frolunda	89. Buncis F. Rungsted
8. Oby-Olsen M. Farjestad	88. Grigals G. (G) Saipa
Coaches
. Thoresen P.	. Vitolins H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
17:24, Vilmanis S. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
07:10, 1 - 0, Koblar T. (G), Brandsegg-Nygard M. (A), Hurrod S. (A2)
07:42, Mamcics R. (2 min),
09:48, Martinsen A. (2 min),
12:13, Martinsen A. (2 min),
16:12, Zile K. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:44, 2 - 0, Steen N. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norway won 1.

Norway is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Latvia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Latvia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Norway: Kopperstad V. (Off the roster)

There will not play in Latvia: Zabusovs P. (Off the roster)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Norway won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 36:66. (average 1.8:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norway hockey
IIHF World Championship
26.05.26	Norway - Denmark	4:3 OT ✺
25.05.26	Czech Republic - Norway	1:4 ✺
23.05.26	Norway - Sweden	3:2 ✺
21.05.26	Canada - Norway	6:5 OT ✺
19.05.26	Italy - Norway	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 68.8 WWWLW
- Latvia hockey
IIHF World Championship
26.05.26	Hungary - Latvia	1:8 ✺
24.05.26	Great Britain - Latvia	0:6 ✺
23.05.26	Latvia - USA	4:2 ✺
21.05.26	Latvia - Finland	1:7 ✺
19.05.26	Latvia - Austria	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Ice Hockey
07.05.26	Latvia - Norway	4:3 penalties
06.05.26	Latvia - Norway	3:2 OT
European Cup of Nations Hockey
11.12.25	Norway - Latvia	0:4
Friendly International Ice Hockey
03.05.25	Norway - Latvia	2:1 OT
02.05.25	Norway - Latvia	1:2 OT
Ice Hockey Slovakia Cup
12.12.24	Norway - Latvia	0:3
Friendly International Ice Hockey
04.05.24	Latvia - Norway	8:0

Norway - Latvia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide