Match Info

Elite League

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Motorpoint Arena (Nottingham)


	Nottingham Panthers		Manchester Storm

	1	X	2
	1.80	4.50	3.00
	1.77	4.80	3.10
	1.74	4.65	3.37	Watch
	1.72	4.40	3.30
	1.71	4.50	3.56	Watch
	1.74	4.50	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.8)	4.56 ↑ (4.51)	3.29 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Panthers
52.2%

Draw
20%

Manchester Storm
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

20%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

21.5%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Manchester Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Panthers than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester Storm than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Nottingham Panthers - Manchester Storm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Robson M. (G)	44. Deridder D. (G)
70. Garat Z.	4. Busby D.
29. Hansen-Bukata A.	90. Dow D.
89. O'Brien Z.	29. Cutler B.
12. Pearson C.	23. McGauley T.
17. Doherty T. (A)	96. Karlsson A.
Line 2
26. Niskala J.	47. Kudla P.
4. Ballhorn G.	7. Clavelle B.
84. Corbeil B.	12. Johnson S. (C)
21. Alfaro M. (C)	19. Gilmour B.
61. Pitkanen M.	9. Maksimovich K.
Line 3
2. Louis-Jean D.	5. Locke K.
73. Hazeldine J.	8. Jenion B.
23. Frattaroli B.	71. Lee C.
8. Naas S.	13. Nardi J. (A)
91. Grondin M.	14. Ulett L. (A)
Line 4
74. Betteridge O. (A)	88. Hook L.
14. Kelsall J.	79. Dudek J.
9. Larkin P.	74. Francis R.
Substitutes
33. Sheldon L. (G)	42. de la Bertouche T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
01:10, 1 - 0, Corbeil B. (G), Alfaro M. (A), Pitkanen M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
16:00, 1 - 1, McGauley T. (G), Karlsson A. (A), Clavelle B. (A2)
3rd Period (4 - 0)
04:19, 2 - 1, Doherty T. (G), O'Brien Z. (A), Hansen-Bukata A. (A2)
13:56, 3 - 1, Corbeil B. (G), Alfaro M. (A), Pitkanen M. (A2)
16:51, 4 - 1, Corbeil B. (G), Alfaro M. (A),
18:20, 5 - 1, Alfaro M. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham Panthers won 3.

Recent results have been tough for Nottingham Panthers (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Manchester have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Nottingham Panthers may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Nottingham Panthers is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nottingham Panthers has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 65:41 (averaging 3.3:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nottingham Panthers against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 34:24 goals (averaging 3.4:2.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Manchester	6	2	1	0	3	10:15	6
7	Nottingham	1	1	0	0	0	5:1	2

Last Results with these Odds

Nottingham Panthers - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.08%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Manchester Storm - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 29.92%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Panthers
United Kingdom Challenge Cup Ice Hockey
25.09.26	Cardiff Devils - Nottingham Panthers	5:3 ✺
20.09.26	Nottingham Panthers - Guildford Flames	1:4 ✺
19.09.26	Sheffield Steelers - Nottingham Panthers	3:2 OT ✺
12.09.26	Nottingham Panthers - Manchester Storm	4:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
06.09.26	Cardiff Devils - Nottingham Panthers	5:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL
- Manchester Storm
United Kingdom Elite League
23.09.26	Manchester Storm - Glasgow Clan	2:1 ✺
United Kingdom Challenge Cup Ice Hockey
19.09.26	Coventry Blaze - Manchester Storm	3:5 ✺
18.09.26	Cardiff Devils - Manchester Storm	4:2 ✺
12.09.26	Nottingham Panthers - Manchester Storm	4:3 penalties ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
06.09.26	Manchester Storm - Sheffield Steelers	5:6 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

United Kingdom Challenge Cup Ice Hockey
12.09.26	Nottingham Panthers - Manchester Storm	4:3 penalties
United Kingdom Elite League
12.04.26	Nottingham Panthers - Manchester Storm	4:4 penalties
11.04.26	Manchester Storm - Nottingham Panthers	2:1
04.04.26	Manchester Storm - Nottingham Panthers	3:4
01.04.26	Nottingham Panthers - Manchester Storm	2:1
28.02.26	Nottingham Panthers - Manchester Storm	2:1 OT
21.02.26	Manchester Storm - Nottingham Panthers	5:1

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