Match Info

Extraliga - Round 29

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: WERK Arena (Trinec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2


	Oceláři Třinec		Bílí Tygři Liberec

	1	X	2
	1.9	4.3	3.3	Watch
	1.97	4.25	3.1	Watch
	2.02	3.84	3
	2.05	4.01	3.06	Watch
	1.91	4	3
	2.03	4.1	3.07	Watch
	2	4.25	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.77)	4.11 ↓ (4.62)	3.08 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oceláři Třinec
47%

Draw
22.7%

Bílí Tygři Liberec
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

20.4%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

20.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oceláři Třinec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oceláři Třinec's form might have worsened.

Bílí Tygři Liberec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oceláři Třinec than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oceláři Třinec, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bílí Tygři Liberec than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Oceláři Třinec - Bílí Tygři Liberec Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Třinec will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Liberec will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Třinec (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Liberec (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Třinec (votes: 2 - 50%). Liberec (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
90. Kacetl O. (G)	60. Kvaca P. (G)
55. Adamek M.	44. Simek R. (C)
52. Marincin M.	79. Galvas T.
94. Nestrasil A.	43. Sandberg F.
87. Kovarcik M.	26. Weatherby J.
18. Flynn O.	83. Petrovsky S.
Line 2
76. Galvas J.	29. Ivan M. (A)
6. Musil D.	8. Zile K.
43. Kurovsky D.	77. Fasko-Rudas M.
79. Hudacek L.	41. Filippi T.
56. Dano M.	82. Prochazka O.
Line 3
64. Koch P.	90. Zeman D.
75. Nedomlel R.	2. Ahac L.
27. Ruzicka Mart. (A)	14. Musil A. (A)
20. Vrana P. (C)	71. Najman A.
81. Cienciala D.	13. Perez J.
Line 4
73. Jank B.	21. Hanousek T.
9. Kubiesa M.	69. Zachar M.
40. Roman M.	81. Jansa F.
19. Hrehorcak P.	94. Hujer J.
Substitutes
22. Dravecky V. (A)	56. Lukes S. (G)
2. Mazanec M. (G)
Coaches
. Motak Z.	. Kudrna J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
03:48, Koch P. (2 min),
09:32, 0 - 1, Petrovsky S. (G), Weatherby J. (A),
18:55, Ahac L. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
15:01, 1 - 1, Kovarcik M. (G), Flynn O. (A),
16:12, Hudacek L. (2 min),
17:48, 1 - 2, Simek R. (G), Prochazka O. (A), Perez J. (A2)
18:04, 1 - 3, Zachar M. (G), Filippi T. (A),
19:54, 2 - 3, Nestrasil A. (G), Kovarcik M. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
04:38, 2 - 4, Musil A. (G), Perez J. (A),
05:03, 3 - 4, Hudacek L. (G), Kurovsky D. (A), Adamek M. (A2)
18:04, 3 - 5, Musil A. (G), Zile K. (A), Simek R. (A2)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Liberec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Třinec is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Třinec: Kovarcik O. (Hand Injury) Kundratek T. (Knee Injury) Sikora P. (Injury)

There will not play in Liberec: Hamalcik P. (Knee Injury) Pytlik J. (Knee Injury) Vlach J. (Neck Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 64:45. (average 3.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Třinec won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 46:27. (average 4.6:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Oceláři Třinec - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 53.1%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oceláři Třinec
Czech Extraliga
03.12.25	Oceláři Třinec - Mountfield Hradec Králové	6:1 ✺
30.11.25	Oceláři Třinec - Sparta Prague	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	Oceláři Třinec - Olomouc	5:2 ✺
25.11.25	Energie Karlovy Vary - Oceláři Třinec	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Verva Litvínov - Oceláři Třinec	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLL
- Bílí Tygři Liberec
Czech Extraliga
30.11.25	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Pardubice	4:2 ✺
28.11.25	HC Plzeň 1929 - Bílí Tygři Liberec	2:1 OT ✺
25.11.25	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Motor České Budějovice	5:2 ✺
23.11.25	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Mountfield Hradec Králové	3:2 ✺
16.11.25	Mladá Boleslav - Bílí Tygři Liberec	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
19.10.25	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Oceláři Třinec	0:1
14.09.25	Oceláři Třinec - Bílí Tygři Liberec	4:2
17.02.25	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Oceláři Třinec	3:1
07.01.25	Oceláři Třinec - Bílí Tygři Liberec	6:7 penalties
22.11.24	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Oceláři Třinec	2:1 OT
04.10.24	Oceláři Třinec - Bílí Tygři Liberec	6:3
02.02.24	Oceláři Třinec - Bílí Tygři Liberec	5:1

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