Match Info

Extraliga - Round 51

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Winter stadium Ivana Hlinky (Litvinov)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2


	Verva Litvínov		Oceláři Třinec

	1	X	2
	4.5	5	1.56	Watch
	4	4.45	1.69	Watch
	4.04	4.5	1.66
	4.2	4.7	1.63
	4.2	4.5	1.57
	4.38	4.55	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (3.88)	4.62 ↑ (4.47)	1.62 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verva Litvínov
22.2%

Draw
20.3%

Oceláři Třinec
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

20.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

22.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verva Litvínov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Oceláři Třinec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verva Litvínov than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oceláři Třinec than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oceláři Třinec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Verva Litvínov - Oceláři Třinec Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Třinec will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Třinec (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
42. Tomek M. (G)	2. Mazanec M. (G)
27. Czuczman K.	55. Adamek M.
44. Schmiemann Q.	52. Marincin M. (A)
77. Hlava N.	94. Nestrasil A. (A)
25. Kase D. (A)	87. Kovarcik M.
74. Mastalirsky M.	34. Kovarcik O.
Line 2
13. Gajdos F.	76. Galvas J.
3. Polasek A. (A)	64. Koch P.
8. Cajkovic M.	56. Dano M.
91. Sukel M. (C)	79. Hudacek L.
10. Koblasa P.	18. Flynn O.
Line 3
11. Moravcik M.	84. Kundratek T.
43. Senkerik P.	6. Musil D.
34. Pistek T.	27. Ruzicka Mart. (C)
29. Holmstrom A.	3. Sikora P.
33. Hannikainen M.	9. Kubiesa M.
Line 4
21. Balaz O.	75. Nedomlel R.
12. Zygmunt P.	81. Cienciala D.
64. Jurcik O.	40. Roman M.
69. Peroutka M.	19. Hrehorcak P.
Substitutes
32. Kubik A. (G)	90. Kacetl O. (G)
Coaches
. Petr J.	. Zabka B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
11:24, 0 - 1, Marincin M. (G), Kovarcik O. (A), Adamek M. (A2)
18:49, Moravcik M. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
00:31, 0 - 2, Dano M. (G), Galvas J. (A), Cienciala D. (A2)
15:43, Hlava N. (2 min),
15:43, Musil D. (2 min),
19:07, Kundratek T. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
05:13, 0 - 3, Kovarcik O. (G), Nestrasil A. (A), Kovarcik M. (A2)
13:05, Zygmunt P. (2 min),
16:00, Pistek T. (2 min),
16:29, Sukel M. (2 min),
16:46, 0 - 4, Ruzicka Mart. (G), Hudacek L. (A), Kundratek T. (A2)
18:04, 1 - 4, Mastalirsky M. (G), Hannikainen M. (A), Polasek A. (A2)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Extraliga (Relegation) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Litvínov is Extraliga (Relegation)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Litvínov won 1.

Litvínov is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Třinec has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Třinec is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Litvínov: Broz J. (Suspended) Husinecky V. (Knee Injury) Jicha J. (Health problems)

There will not play in Třinec: Dravecky V. (Health problems) Kurovsky D. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Litvínov: Kase O. (Health problems)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Litvínov won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 49:60. (average 2.5:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Litvínov won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 3.1:2.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Trinec	9	9	0	0	0	45:18	27
9	Litvinov	9	3	1	1	4	23:26	12

Last Results with these Odds

Oceláři Třinec - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.22%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Verva Litvínov
Czech Extraliga
01.03.26	HC Plzeň 1929 - Verva Litvínov	3:2 ✺
27.02.26	Verva Litvínov - Pardubice	1:4 ✺
25.02.26	Motor České Budějovice - Verva Litvínov	4:2 ✺
29.01.26	Verva Litvínov - Mountfield Hradec Králové	3:6 ✺
27.01.26	Mladá Boleslav - Verva Litvínov	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Oceláři Třinec
Czech Extraliga
01.03.26	Oceláři Třinec - Vítkovice Steel	3:2 OT ✺
27.02.26	Kometa Brno - Oceláři Třinec	5:1 ✺
25.02.26	Rytíři Kladno - Oceláři Třinec	1:3 ✺
29.01.26	Oceláři Třinec - Pardubice	3:2 ✺
27.01.26	Mountfield Hradec Králové - Oceláři Třinec	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
04.01.26	Oceláři Třinec - Verva Litvínov	3:2 OT
23.11.25	Verva Litvínov - Oceláři Třinec	5:2
05.10.25	Oceláři Třinec - Verva Litvínov	3:1
11.03.25	Oceláři Třinec - Verva Litvínov	4:1
10.03.25	Oceláři Třinec - Verva Litvínov	3:2
08.03.25	Verva Litvínov - Oceláři Třinec	2:4
07.03.25	Verva Litvínov - Oceláři Třinec	2:1 OT

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