Match Info

Extraliga - Round 30

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: WERK Arena (Trinec)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2


	Oceláři Třinec		Mladá Boleslav

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.3	4	Watch
	1.72	4.25	4	Watch
	1.71	4.09	3.74
	1.73	4.32	3.92	Watch
	1.67	4.2	3.7
	1.73	4.25	4.01	Watch
	1.74	4	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.64)	4.2 ↓ (4.58)	3.95 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oceláři Třinec
54.3%

Draw
22.2%

Mladá Boleslav
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

20.4%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

20%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oceláři Třinec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Mladá Boleslav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oceláři Třinec than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Oceláři Třinec - Mladá Boleslav Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Třinec will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Mladá Boleslav (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mladá Boleslav (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
2. Mazanec M. (G)	38. Furch D. (G)
55. Adamek M.	24. Pyrochta F. (C)
52. Marincin M.	77. Havlin T.
94. Nestrasil A.	89. Moses S.
87. Kovarcik M.	16. Griger D.
18. Flynn O.	28. Skalicky P. (A)
Line 2
76. Galvas J.	45. Pavlik F.
64. Koch P.	10. Lintuniemi A.
9. Kubiesa M.	31. Lakatos D.
79. Hudacek L.	9. Hradec V.
56. Dano M.	47. Buchtele J. (A)
Line 3
75. Nedomlel R.	44. Gewiese P.
6. Musil D.	33. Skarberg M.
27. Ruzicka Mart. (C)	18. Rekonen A.
20. Vrana P. (A)	29. Berglund C.
81. Cienciala D.	11. Mazura T.
Line 4
73. Jank B.	94. Lichtag J.
22. Dravecky V. (A)	25. Malinek V.
40. Roman M.	42. Suchy F.
19. Hrehorcak P.
Substitutes
90. Kacetl O. (G)	88. Gardon M.
	93. Mokry V. (G)
Coaches
. Motak Z.	. Horava M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
00:59, 1 - 0, Galvas J. (G), Hudacek L. (A), Kubiesa M. (A2)
14:15, 1 - 1, Berglund C. (G), Mazura T. (A), Skarberg M. (A2)
16:12, 1 - 2, Griger D. (G), Skalicky P. (A),
18:36, Gewiese P. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
08:03, 2 - 2, Nestrasil A. (G), Koch P. (A), Flynn O. (A2)
09:04, Malinek V. (2 min),
19:59, 3 - 2, Kubiesa M. (G), Nedomlel R. (A), Dano M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
14:47, 4 - 2, Roman M. (G), Dravecky V. (A), Hrehorcak P. (A2)
16:41, 5 - 2, Dano M. (G), Kovarcik M. (A), Jank B. (A2)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mladá Boleslav may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Třinec has had a series of home games.

In this match, Třinec is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Třinec: Kovarcik O. (Hand Injury) Kundratek T. (Knee Injury) Sikora P. (Injury)

There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Janosik A. (Broken Leg)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Třinec won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 55:35. (average 2.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Třinec won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:13. (average 3.1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Oceláři Třinec - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.88%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Mladá Boleslav - the odds 4.1 are the expected chance of winning is 22.75%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oceláři Třinec
Czech Extraliga
05.12.25	Oceláři Třinec - Bílí Tygři Liberec	3:5 ✺
03.12.25	Oceláři Třinec - Mountfield Hradec Králové	6:1 ✺
30.11.25	Oceláři Třinec - Sparta Prague	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	Oceláři Třinec - Olomouc	5:2 ✺
25.11.25	Energie Karlovy Vary - Oceláři Třinec	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL
- BK Mlada Boleslav
Czech Extraliga
05.12.25	Pardubice - Mladá Boleslav	5:2 ✺
30.11.25	Mladá Boleslav - Kometa Brno	3:4 ✺
28.11.25	Rytíři Kladno - Mladá Boleslav	5:0 ✺
25.11.25	Mountfield Hradec Králové - Mladá Boleslav	0:1 penalties ✺
23.11.25	Mladá Boleslav - HC Plzeň 1929	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
24.10.25	Oceláři Třinec - Mladá Boleslav	2:1
16.09.25	Mladá Boleslav - Oceláři Třinec	2:1
12.02.25	Oceláři Třinec - Mladá Boleslav	5:1
30.12.24	Mladá Boleslav - Oceláři Třinec	3:2 OT
03.11.24	Oceláři Třinec - Mladá Boleslav	2:3
27.09.24	Mladá Boleslav - Oceláři Třinec	4:3 penalties
07.01.24	Oceláři Třinec - Mladá Boleslav	2:1 OT

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