Match Info

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Olimpija Ljubljana		Bolzano

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.30	2.40
	2.32	4.19	2.47
	2.28	4.40	2.44	Watch
	2.28	4.10	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 (2.28)	4.25 ↓ (4.4)	2.43 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpija Ljubljana
40.4%

Draw
21.7%

Bolzano
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

21.1%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

23.2%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Bolzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolzano than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Olimpija Ljubljana - Bolzano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 1st in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpija won 4.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Olimpija has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:52 (averaging 2.4:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Olimpija against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 28:25 goals (averaging 2.8:2.5 per game).

Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now

Bolzano: 14.21% HK Olimpija: 4.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Bolzano	9	5	2	2	0	35:23	21
4	HK Olimpija	9	5	1	0	3	42:26	17

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpija Ljubljana - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.77%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Bolzano - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.1%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Olimpija Ljubljana
Austrian Ice Hockey League
11.10.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Ferencvárosi	5:1 ✺
09.10.26	Graz 99ers - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:4 AET ✺
04.10.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Pioneers Vorarlberg	8:0 ✺
02.10.26	Pustertal-Val Pusteria - Olimpija Ljubljana	4:2 ✺
27.09.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Villacher	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWLW
- HC Bolzano-Bozen
Austrian Ice Hockey League
11.10.26	Milano - Bolzano	3:4 OT ✺
09.10.26	Villacher - Bolzano	4:3 AET ✺
04.10.26	Bolzano - Ferencvárosi	4:3 penalties ✺
02.10.26	Bolzano - EC KAC	4:0 ✺
30.09.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Bolzano	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
19.03.26	Bolzano - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:4
17.03.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Bolzano	4:0
14.03.26	Bolzano - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:3
12.03.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Bolzano	1:2
10.03.26	Bolzano - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:3 OT
25.02.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Bolzano	4:3 penalties
26.12.25	Bolzano - Olimpija Ljubljana	4:1

Olimpija Ljubljana - Bolzano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide