The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Olimpija Ljubljana 55.4%
Draw 19.6%
Villacher 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.2%
20.8%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
21.6%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpija Ljubljana's performance.
Villacher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpija Ljubljana that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacher than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villacher could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Olimpija Ljubljana - Villacher Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Us Z. (G)
37. Swette R. (G)
43. Brennan T. (A)
26. Larochelle S.
74. Halbert N.
55. Schreier L.
8. Mahkovec M.
72. Hughes J. (A)
14. Jeglic Z. (A)
17. Metzler J.
9. Urbas J. (C)
8. Rebernig M.
Line 2
86. Bohinc R.
52. Sproul R. (A)
4. McNeill R.
6. Walford S.
92. Lawrence J.
41. Teasdale J.
11. Quince M.
16. Hancock K.
12. Simsic N.
40. Wallenta E.
Line 3
21. Bukovec M.
42. Wall A.
44. Crnovic A.
71. Strong S.
68. Gomboc L.
91. Andersson L.
89. Boychuk Z.
78. Maxa F. (C)
93. Meyer N.
19. Cramarossa J.
Line 4
71. Mehle Z.
63. Topalovic B.
10. Bericic M.
11. Sintschnig J.
23. Sodja J.
43. Raspotnig J.
Substitutes
61. Horak L. (G)
35. Cannata J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
05:09, 1 - 0, Lawrence J. (G), Bohinc R. (A),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
10:30, 1 - 1, Hughes J. (G), Rebernig M. (A),
14:39, 2 - 1, Mahkovec M. (G), Urbas J. (A),
17:39, 3 - 1, Jeglic Z. (G), Mahkovec M. (A), Urbas J. (A2)
17:55, 4 - 1, Sodja J. (G), Mehle Z. (A), Bericic M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
03:45, 5 - 1, Boychuk Z. (G), Meyer N. (A), McNeill R. (A2)
05:14, 5 - 2, Cramarossa J. (G), Wall A. (A),
16:59, 6 - 2, Gomboc L. (G), Meyer N. (A), Lawrence J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpija won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Olimpija may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Olimpija has faced a series of away games on the road.
Olimpija carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Olimpija has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 73:76 (averaging 3.7:3.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Olimpija against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 31:28 goals (averaging 3.4:3.1 per game).
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
HK Olimpija: 4.19%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
HK Olimpija
8
4
1
0
3
37:25
14
8
Villach
8
3
1
1
3
23:25
12
Last Results with these Odds
Villacher - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.01%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Slovenia
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Us Z. (G) 
Swette R. (G) 
Brennan T. (A) 
Larochelle S. 
Halbert N. 
Sproul R. (A) 
Andersson L. 
Meyer N. 
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