The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Milano 32.3%
Draw 20.9%
Bolzano 46.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.7%
20.3%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
21.3%
40.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Bolzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milano than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolzano than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolzano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Milano - Bolzano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Smith J. (G)
70. Domingue L. (G)
51. Grant A.
5. van d. L. J.
22. Valentine S.
92. Leslie Z.
24. Madaschi T.
19. McClure B.
8. Cuglietta D.
15. Elson T.
47. Pietroniro C.
24. Schneider C. (A)
Line 2
94. Wylie W.
22. Buono C.
3. Dello T.
74. Hillman B.
96. Hannoun D.
10. Gazley D. (A)
27. McLaughlin B.
77. Bradley M.
11. Caamano N.
76. Ratcliffe I.
Line 3
4. Gios G.
53. Larcher E.
5. Albis O. P.
26. Kivihalme T.
37. Chiodo L.
13. Gellon D.
68. Lindquist D.
9. Mantenuto D.
67. Frycklund M.
11. DiGiacinto C.
Line 4
20. Fuchs J.
23. Frick N.
27. Remolato N.
18. Misley B.
93. Frigo L. (C)
Substitutes
83. Berti E. (G)
31. Costantini M. (G)
65. Kostner D.
14. McKegg G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
10:39, 1 - 0, Caamano N. (G), Grant A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:17, 1 - 1, Elson T. (G), Schneider C. (A),
07:51, 2 - 1, Chiodo L. (G), Cuglietta D. (A), Gios G. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
02:10, 2 - 2, Ratcliffe I. (G), McClure B. (A),
08:56, 3 - 2, Lindquist D. (G), Frycklund M. (A),
14:19, 3 - 3, van d. L. J. (G), Frigo L. (A), Ratcliffe I. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:11, 3 - 4, Schneider C. (G), DiGiacinto C. (A),
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 4th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 1st in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In recent outings, Milano has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bolzano is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Bolzano may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Milano has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Milano has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:10 (averaging 1.8:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Milano against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Bolzano
15
10
2
2
1
64:35
36
10
Milano
16
6
0
2
8
47:52
20
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
Bolzano: 16.75% Milano: 6.84%
Last Results with these Odds
Bolzano - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.