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Current Win Probability
Olomouc 15.1%
Draw 17%
Pardubice 67.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
16.3%
18.6%
65.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.3%
19.7%
63%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olomouc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olomouc than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Olomouc - Pardubice Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Machovsky M. (G)
35. Will R. (G)
37. Stella E.
79. Tourigny M.
17. Freibergs R.
15. Ludvig J.
88. Navratil J.
89. Mandat J. (A)
18. Berglund C.
92. Nosek T. (A)
81. Matys O.
11. Kondelik J.
Line 2
48. Cerny T. (A)
41. Ceresnak P. (C)
23. Ondrusek J. (C)
7. Dvorak T.
32. Orsava J. (A)
93. Stransky M.
86. Stohanzl M.
98. Tomasek D.
25. Kos J.
96. Smejkal J.
Line 3
4. Rutar A.
43. Gazda D.
14. Reznicek D.
27. Scotka J.
34. Vitouch M.
88. Stransky J.
21. Vitouch D.
44. Poulicek P.
65. Tomecek M.
34. Macek V.
Line 4
44. Gewiese P.
4. Miklis O.
9. Senyshyn Z.
28. Hauser P.
47. Macuh R.
59. Hrnicko D.
24. Andel L.
12. Pekar M.
Substitutes
29. Cichon O. (G)
32. Subban M. (G)
97. Hercik D.
Coaches
. Fiala P.
. Pesan F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
05:51, 0 - 1, Poulicek P. (G), Hauser P. (A), Dvorak T. (A2)
07:53, Tomasek D. (2 min),
18:51, Macuh R. (2 min),
18:51, Stransky J. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
02:46, Macuh R. (2 min),
12:59, 0 - 2, Tourigny M. (G), Mandat J. (A), Ludvig J. (A2)
13:12, 0 - 3, Tomasek D. (G), Smejkal J. (A), Stransky M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
06:11, Stohanzl M. (2 min),
07:34, Gazda D. (2 min),
08:40, Stohanzl M. (2 min),
10:04, 1 - 3, Kos J. (G), Ondrusek J. (A),
10:37, 1 - 4, Nosek T. (G), Kondelik J. (A), Tourigny M. (A2)
15:17, Vitouch D. (2 min),
18:46, Mandat J. (2 min),
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th in the Extraliga (Relegation) and 2nd in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olomouc won 2.
Olomouc is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Pardubice is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Pardubice could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, Pardubice enters as the overwhelming favorite.
Confirmed absences for Pardubice: Kostalek J.
(Suspended)
Lauko J.
(Leg Injury)
Sedlak L.
(Leg Injury)
Sobotka V.
(Shoulder Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Olomouc: Plasek K. Jr.
(Upper-Body Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Pardubice: Kaut M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Scotka J.
(Shoulder Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Pardubice in today's match, at odds of 1.37.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Olomouc has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:63 (averaging 1.6:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Olomouc against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 19:28 goals (averaging 1.9:2.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Pardubice
15
9
1
1
4
56:41
30
14
Olomouc
15
2
1
2
10
26:52
10
Outrights of Czech Extraliga for now
Pardubice: 38.39% Olomouc: 0.83%
Last Results with these Odds
Pardubice - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 65.07%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Czech Republic
Watch
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Machovsky M. (G) 
Stella E. 
Tourigny M. 
Freibergs R. 
Ceresnak P. (C) 
Macuh R. 
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