Match Info

Extraliga - Round 44

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Winter stadium Olomouc (Olomouc)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2


	Olomouc		Pardubice

	1	X	2
	3.7	4.5	1.75	Watch
	3.6	4.35	1.79	Watch
	3.4	3.95	1.84
	3.46	4.16	1.87	Watch
	3.5	4.2	1.75
	3.48	4.25	1.85
	3.6	4.4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (3.59)	4.26 ↓ (4.38)	1.81 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olomouc
26.4%

Draw
21.9%

Pardubice
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

21.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

22.4%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olomouc has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Pardubice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olomouc than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Olomouc - Pardubice Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pardubice will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pardubice will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Cichon O. (G)	31. Vomacka T. (G)
48. Cerny T.	41. Ceresnak P. (A)
23. Ondrusek J. (C)	7. Dvorak T.
88. Navratil J.	89. Mandat J.
19. Nahodil L. (A)	23. Sedlak L. (C)
62. Plasek K. Jr.	19. Cervenka R. (A)
Line 2
37. Stella E.	79. Tourigny M.
61. Cosgrove T.	15. Ludvig J.
32. Orsava J. (A)	18. Fejes H.
41. Vitouch D.	11. Kondelik J.
11. Fridrich P.	29. Kelemen M.
Line 3
3. Skurek D.	43. Gazda D.
39. Petrovicky R.	4. Miklis O.
81. Matys O.	61. Kaut M.
91. Kusko S.	71. Sobotka V.
9. Krastenbergs R.	90. Kousal R.
Line 4
27. Rasner A.	77. Hradek M.
89. Doktor J.	55. Vondracek T.
24. Andel L.	44. Poulicek P.
7. Ministr D.	12. Formanek F.
Substitutes
1. Machovsky M. (G)	35. Will R. (G)
Coaches
. Petrovicky R.	. Pesan F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
06:03, Orsava J. (2 min),
08:12, Vomacka T. (2 min),
14:27, Matys O. (2 min),
15:59, 0 - 1, Kondelik J. (G), Cervenka R. (A), Ceresnak P. (A2)
19:35, Vondracek T. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
10:50, 0 - 2, Hradek M. (G), Ceresnak P. (A), Fejes H. (A2)
15:53, Tourigny M. (2 min),
16:58, 1 - 2, Fridrich P. (G), Cosgrove T. (A),
19:35, 1 - 3, Cervenka R. (G), Mandat J. (A), Gazda D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:12, Matys O. (2 min),
03:12, Tourigny M. (2 min),
09:00, Sobotka V. (2 min),
14:27, Mandat J. (2 min),
19:12, 2 - 3, Matys O. (G),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olomouc won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Pardubice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pardubice is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Olomouc: Cacho V. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Pardubice: Smejkal J. (Upper-Body Injury) Subban M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Olomouc: Macuh R. (Concussion)

There are questionable in Pardubice: Hajek L. (Leg Injury) Kostalek J. (Illness) Lauko J. (Leg Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olomouc won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 32:62. (average 1.6:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Olomouc won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 2:2.7).

Outrights of Czech Extraliga for now

Pardubice: 38.32% Olomouc: 0.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Pardubice	10	8	0	0	2	42:27	24
14	Olomouc	9	1	1	0	7	17:33	5

Last Results with these Odds

Olomouc - the odds 3.59 are the expected chance of winning is 25.99%, but this team recently wins 16% of matches with these odds.

Pardubice - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 52.71%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Olomouc
Czech Extraliga
18.01.26	Rytíři Kladno - Olomouc	2:0 ✺
16.01.26	Olomouc - Energie Karlovy Vary	1:5 ✺
12.01.26	HC Plzeň 1929 - Olomouc	3:2 ✺
09.01.26	Olomouc - Oceláři Třinec	4:1 ✺
06.01.26	Olomouc - Kometa Brno	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLWW
- CSOB Pojistovna Pardubice
Czech Extraliga
21.01.26	Pardubice - Kometa Brno	7:1 ✺
18.01.26	Pardubice - Motor České Budějovice	5:1 ✺
16.01.26	Mladá Boleslav - Pardubice	4:2 ✺
11.01.26	Pardubice - Bílí Tygři Liberec	2:1 penalties ✺
09.01.26	Mountfield Hradec Králové - Pardubice	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
17.12.25	Pardubice - Olomouc	4:5 OT
26.10.25	Olomouc - Pardubice	2:1 OT
19.09.25	Pardubice - Olomouc	3:1
29.01.25	Pardubice - Olomouc	1:0
22.12.24	Olomouc - Pardubice	0:2
27.10.24	Pardubice - Olomouc	2:1
20.09.24	Olomouc - Pardubice	2:4

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