Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: ELJ - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 2

Date: 19 March 2024, Tuesday


	Olomouc U20		Mountfield HK U20

	1	X	2
	2.82	4.09	2.29
	2.82	3.8	2.29
	2.62	4.05	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.77)	3.98 ↑ (3.9)	2.25 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olomouc U20
34.3%

Draw
23.7%

Mountfield HK U20
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

24.2%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

24.2%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olomouc U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Mountfield HK U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olomouc U20 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mountfield HK U20 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
14:04, Havlicek M. (G), Cerny S. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:40, Drabek K. (G), Tomecek M. (A), Koudelny J. (A2)
10:57, Zamecnik O. (G), Vencl J. (A),
11:56, Bosek L. (G), Tomecek M. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
09:10, Prasek J. (G), Hrdlicka P. (A),
19:59, Zamecnik O. (G), Moravec P. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olomouc U20 won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Mountfield HK U20 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Mountfield HK U20 have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Olomouc U20 won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 49-54.

Including matches at home between the teams Olomouc U20 won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28-29.

Last Results with these Odds

Mountfield HK U20 - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.73%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Olomouc U20
Czech ELJ
14.03.24	Motor České Budějovice U20 - Olomouc U20	4:1 ✺
02.03.24	Mountfield HK U20 - Olomouc U20	3:2 penalties ✺
29.02.24	Olomouc U20 - ZUBR Přerov U20	3:0 ✺
26.02.24	Verva Litvínov U20 - Olomouc U20	2:3 penalties ✺
22.02.24	Olomouc U20 - Plzen U20	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LLWWW
- Mountfield HK U20
Czech ELJ
14.03.24	Mountfield HK U20 - ZUBR Přerov U20	4:5 ✺
07.03.24	Mountfield HK U20 - Motor České Budějovice U20	5:2 ✺
02.03.24	Mountfield HK U20 - Olomouc U20	3:2 penalties ✺
29.02.24	Zlin U20 - Mountfield HK U20	3:2 ✺
26.02.24	Mountfield HK U20 - Motor České Budějovice U20	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Czech ELJ
02.03.24	Mountfield HK U20 - Olomouc U20	3:2 penalties
19.02.24	Olomouc U20 - Mountfield HK U20	6:2
13.01.24	Mountfield HK U20 - Olomouc U20	2:1
21.12.23	Olomouc U20 - Mountfield HK U20	3:2
08.01.23	Olomouc U20 - Mountfield HK U20	3:2
20.11.22	Mountfield HK U20 - Olomouc U20	0:2
30.09.22	Olomouc U20 - Mountfield HK U20	4:2

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