Match Info

ELJ - Relegation - Round 4

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Czechicehockey.tv


	Zlin U20		Mountfield HK U20

	1	X	2
	2.85	4.2	1.9
	3.17	4.73	1.73
	2.97	4.64	1.93	Watch
	2.88	4.2	1.85
	3.26	4.45	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.56)	4.44 ↓ (4.5)	1.84 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zlin U20
30%

Draw
20.5%

Mountfield HK U20
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

20.1%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

22.4%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zlin U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Mountfield HK U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mountfield HK U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zlin U20 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mountfield HK U20 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Zlin U20 - Mountfield HK U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Kadera T. (G)	2. Petrik V. (G)
27. Feher A.	20. Bezpalec A. (C)
23. Holba M. (A)	25. Dostalek V.
29. Horsky D.	17. Fedencius T.
7. Hubacek T.	10. Frolik F.
43. Korenek R.	15. Hendrych P.
91. Kos D. (C)	24. Hlavacek A.
13. Matula A.	12. Janecek J.
87. Pavlusek M.	13. Jon J. (A)
81. Pecner L. (A)	5. Klima F.
11. Provaznik J.	21. Panek J.
96. Simek A.	18. Paulus F.
5. Vanek F.	3. Pavlik D.
64. Zalubil K.	11. Samek F. (A)
	9. Sichan D.
	16. Stiburek M.
	7. Studnicky K.
	6. Vondruska J.
	23. Zikmund T.
Substitutes
57. Uherek M. (G)	1. Zaruba M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
04:43, 1 - 0, Feher A. (G), Korenek R. (A), Pecner L. (A2)
08:04, 1 - 1, Hlavacek A. (G), Vondruska J. (A), Bezpalec A. (A2)
09:22, 2 - 1, Feher A. (G), Hubacek T. (A), Kos D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
02:01, 2 - 2, Frolik F. (G), Klima F. (A), Studnicky K. (A2)
10:52, 3 - 2, Pavlusek M. (G), Feher A. (A),
11:21, 3 - 3, Fedencius T. (G), Paulus F. (A), Zikmund T. (A2)
19:20, 3 - 4, Frolik F. (G), Hendrych P. (A), Vondruska J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
01:42, 3 - 5, Klima F. (G), Bezpalec A. (A), Zikmund T. (A2)
10:40, 3 - 6, Samek F. (G), Stiburek M. (A), Hlavacek A. (A2)

Preview

Zlin U20 is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zlin U20 won 1.

Zlin U20 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mountfield U20 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mountfield U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mountfield U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Mountfield U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.84.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zlin U20 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 54:75. (average 2.7:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Zlin U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 2.9:3.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
13	Mountfield HK U20	13	3	1	2	7	39:48	13

Last Results with these Odds

Zlin U20 - the odds 3.56 are the expected chance of winning is 25.37%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSG Zlin U20
Czech ELJ
14.03.26	Zlin U20 - Verva Litvínov U20	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Plzen U20 - Zlin U20	8:4 ✺
05.03.26	Zlin U20 - Poruba U20	5:4 OT ✺
28.02.26	Slavia Prague U20 - Zlin U20	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Zlin U20 - Vítkovice Steel U20	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWLL
- Mountfield HK U20
Czech ELJ
14.03.26	Slavia Prague U20 - Mountfield HK U20	1:4 ✺
12.03.26	Mountfield HK U20 - Verva Litvínov U20	5:3 ✺
07.03.26	Sparta U20 Prague - Mountfield HK U20	3:4 ✺
05.03.26	Mountfield HK U20 - Slavia Prague U20	7:4 ✺
28.02.26	Vítkovice Steel U20 - Mountfield HK U20	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech ELJ
17.02.26	Mountfield HK U20 - Zlin U20	3:2
26.01.26	Zlin U20 - Mountfield HK U20	5:8
03.01.26	Mountfield HK U20 - Zlin U20	4:1
25.10.25	Mountfield HK U20 - Zlin U20	6:1
06.09.25	Zlin U20 - Mountfield HK U20	3:1
22.02.25	Mountfield HK U20 - Zlin U20	3:2
06.02.25	Zlin U20 - Mountfield HK U20	2:0

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