Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Pardubice		Oceláři Třinec

	1	X	2
	1.87	4.75	3.1	Watch
	1.85	4.60	3.10
	1.93	4.2	3.2
	1.92	4.2	3.21
	1.89	4.35	3.22	Watch
	1.87	4.1	3.1
	1.88	4.4	3.3
	1.84	4.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.78)	4.36 ↓ (4.48)	3.18 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pardubice
49.4%

Draw
21.3%

Oceláři Třinec
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

20.8%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

22.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pardubice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Oceláři Třinec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oceláři Třinec than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Pardubice - Oceláři Třinec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 1st in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pardubice won 3.

Each of the two teams has built an impressive run of consecutive wins.

Třinec could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Pardubice holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Pardubice has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 65:54 (averaging 3.3:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pardubice against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 33:20 goals (averaging 3.3:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Trinec	9	9	0	0	0	45:18	27
2	Pardubice	10	8	0	0	2	42:27	24

Last Results with these Odds

Pardubice - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.42%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Oceláři Třinec - the odds 3.49 are the expected chance of winning is 26.75%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSOB Pojistovna Pardubice
Czech Extraliga
09.10.26	Vítkovice Steel - Pardubice	2:3 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
07.10.26	Bordeaux - Pardubice	2:5 ✺
Czech Extraliga
04.10.26	Pardubice - Sparta Prague	6:4 ✺
02.10.26	Pardubice - HC Plzeň 1929	4:2 ✺
29.09.26	Pardubice - Motor České Budějovice	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW
- Oceláři Třinec
Czech Extraliga
09.10.26	Oceláři Třinec - Mountfield Hradec Králové	5:2 ✺
04.10.26	Olomouc - Oceláři Třinec	0:9 ✺
02.10.26	Oceláři Třinec - Verva Litvínov	3:2 ✺
29.09.26	Oceláři Třinec - Rytíři Kladno	6:4 ✺
27.09.26	Bílí Tygři Liberec - Oceláři Třinec	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
28.04.26	Oceláři Třinec - Pardubice	4:5 OT
26.04.26	Pardubice - Oceláři Třinec	2:1
23.04.26	Oceláři Třinec - Pardubice	4:2
22.04.26	Oceláři Třinec - Pardubice	5:4 OT
19.04.26	Pardubice - Oceláři Třinec	4:2
18.04.26	Pardubice - Oceláři Třinec	3:2
29.01.26	Oceláři Třinec - Pardubice	3:2

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