Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Pelicans U20		Vaasan Sport U20

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.7	4.6
	1.37	5.02	5.62
	1.35	5.3	6.3	Watch
	1.36	4.9	5.5
	1.34	5.4	6.02
	1.34	4.9	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.5)	5.04 ↑ (4.55)	5.67 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelicans U20
66.2%

Draw
17.9%

Vaasan Sport U20
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

19.7%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

19.9%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelicans U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pelicans U20's performance.

Vaasan Sport U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans U20 than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pelicans U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport U20 than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Pelicans U20 - Vaasan Sport U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans U20 won 3.

Pelicans U20 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Vaasan Sport U20 is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Pelicans U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pelicans U20 has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

In this matchup, Pelicans U20 is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Pelicans U20 in today's match, at odds of 1.48.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Pelicans U20 has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 54:30 (averaging 3.4:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pelicans U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 32:16 goals (averaging 3.6:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Pelicans Lahti U20	10	7	0	0	3	37:26	21
16	Vaasan Sport U20	9	1	1	1	6	29:37	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pelicans U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.09.26	Pelicans U20 - Jokerit U20	5:4 ✺
19.09.26	Pelicans U20 - RoKi U20	6:2 ✺
12.09.26	Pelicans U20 - JYP U20	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	TPS U20 - Pelicans U20	1:7 ✺
05.09.26	Pelicans U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWL
- Vaasan Sport U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
13.09.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - HPK U20	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - Ilves U20	6:9 ✺
05.09.26	HIFK U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - Lukko U20	1:5
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
18.10.25	Pelicans U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	4:1
28.09.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Pelicans U20	1:2 OT
22.09.24	Pelicans U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	1:2 penalties
09.12.23	Pelicans U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	1:4
10.09.22	Pelicans U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	3:1
09.10.21	Pelicans U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	6:1
20.11.20	Vaasan Sport U20 - Pelicans U20	3:5

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