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Current Win Probability
Vaasan Sport U20 17.9%
Draw 18%
HPK U20 64.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.4%
20%
58.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23%
21.5%
54.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vaasan Sport U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
HPK U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HPK U20's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport U20 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vaasan Sport U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK U20 than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HPK U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
01:58, 1 - 0, Flugins K. (G), Andrey T. (A), Vanninen E. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
12:23, 1 - 1, Klima F. (G), Fagerstrom V. (A), Laine P. (A2)
15:06, 1 - 2, Lappalainen M. (G),
16:33, 2 - 2, Andrey T. (G), Lassander J. (A),
18:44, 2 - 3, Kuusisto O. (G), Fagerstrom V. (A), Laine P. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasan Sport U20 won 3.
Recent form of Vaasan Sport U20 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
HPK U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, HPK U20 has had a series of home games.
In this match, HPK U20 is the team to beat.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Vaasan Sport U20 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 60:58. (average 3.3:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Vaasan Sport U20 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 2.9:2.7).
Watch
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