Match Info

FINLAND: MESTIS

Date: 3 March 2023, Friday


	Peliitat Heinola		KeuPa

	1	X	2
	4.5	5.25	1.5
	4.5	4.5	1.5
	4.8	5	1.49
	4.93	4.56	1.39
	5	4.75	1.4
	5.05	5.3	1.44
	5	4.9	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↓ (5.1)	4.89 ↑ (4.71)	1.46 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peliitat Heinola
18.9%

Draw
18.6%

KeuPa
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

19.2%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

19.3%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peliitat Heinola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

KeuPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peliitat Heinola than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KeuPa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Peliitat Heinola - KeuPa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:5

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peliitat Heinola won 2.

Peliitat Heinola is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches KeuPa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

KeuPa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match KeuPa is a favorite.

Last 40 head-to-head matches Peliitat Heinola won 18 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 22 matches and goals 113-130.

Including matches at home between the teams Peliitat Heinola won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 50-71.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peliitat Heinola
Finnish Mestis
24.02.23	Peliitat Heinola - Kiekko-Vantaa	1:4 ✺
22.02.23	Peliitat Heinola - KeuPa	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Hermes Kokkola - Peliitat Heinola	8:0 ✺
17.02.23	RoKi - Peliitat Heinola	6:1 ✺
11.02.23	KeuPa - Peliitat Heinola	5:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLLLW
- KeuPa HT
Finnish Mestis
01.03.23	KeuPa - Hokki	9:1 ✺
25.02.23	Koovee - KeuPa	1:5 ✺
24.02.23	KeuPa - TuTo	1:2 penalties ✺
22.02.23	Peliitat Heinola - KeuPa	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Imatran Ketterä - KeuPa	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
22.02.23	Peliitat Heinola - KeuPa	1:2
11.02.23	KeuPa - Peliitat Heinola	5:9
04.11.22	KeuPa - Peliitat Heinola	5:2
12.03.22	KeuPa - Peliitat Heinola	5:4
25.02.22	Peliitat Heinola - KeuPa	6:2
15.12.21	KeuPa - Peliitat Heinola	2:1
21.10.21	Peliitat Heinola - KeuPa	2:5

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