Match Info

OHL

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Peterborough Memorial Centre (Peterborough, ON)


	Peterborough Petes		Niagara IceDogs

	1	X	2
	1.59	4.75	4.04	Watch
	1.44	4.75	4.6
	1.52	5	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.75)	4.83 ↑ (4.48)	4.16 ↑ (3.44)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough Petes
59.6%

Draw
18.7%

Niagara IceDogs
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

20.6%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

21.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough Petes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough Petes's performance.

Niagara IceDogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Niagara IceDogs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Petes than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough Petes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Niagara IceDogs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Peterborough Petes - Niagara IceDogs Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Rye E. (G)	32. Yermolenko V. (G)
15. Cameron C. (C)	72. Barnes B.
28. Faulkner B.	7. Cheynowski C.
8. Frazer G.	33. Chromiak J. (A)
19. Hammond B.	12. Czata E. (C)
12. Kolarik L.	27. Dell'Elce S.
10. Levac A.	44. Doherty S.
44. Lutz Y.	17. Edgar R.
3. Marentette T.	92. Galiyanov I.
29. McCallum B. (A)	9. Hage A.
61. McGregor K.	64. Hull C.
16. Novotny A.	6. Knauft J.
18. Parish F.	93. Read N.
72. Perreault M.	16. Reid H.
71. Petrovski J. (A)	25. Roobroeck R. (A)
92. Soto M.	61. Simon Wang
6. Strohack G.	43. Smith R.
22. Walton K.	49. Spencer L.
26. Young A.	8. Tiller G. (A)
Substitutes
34. Johnston M. (G)	77. Robertson C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
00:46, 1 - 0, Walton K. (G), Novotny A. (A), Cameron C. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Peterborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Niagara has had a series of away games.

Peterborough is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Peterborough will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 91:53. (average 4.6:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 50:29. (average 5:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Niagara IceDogs - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 26.78%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough Petes
OHL
16.01.26	Brantford Bulldogs - Peterborough Petes	4:3 ✺
10.01.26	Peterborough Petes - Guelph Storm	3:2 penalties ✺
08.01.26	Peterborough Petes - Oshawa Generals	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Guelph Storm - Peterborough Petes	3:2 penalties ✺
03.01.26	Owen Sound Attack - Peterborough Petes	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWLW
- Niagara IceDogs
OHL
10.01.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Niagara IceDogs	5:0 ✺
09.01.26	Sudbury Wolves - Niagara IceDogs	2:4 ✺
07.01.26	Brantford Bulldogs - Niagara IceDogs	4:2 ✺
03.01.26	Barrie Colts - Niagara IceDogs	4:5 OT ✺
02.01.26	Niagara IceDogs - Windsor Spitfires	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
18.12.25	Peterborough Petes - Niagara IceDogs	5:2
30.11.25	Niagara IceDogs - Peterborough Petes	3:6
12.01.25	Niagara IceDogs - Peterborough Petes	2:5
31.12.24	Niagara IceDogs - Peterborough Petes	3:2
01.12.24	Peterborough Petes - Niagara IceDogs	4:3 OT
29.10.24	Peterborough Petes - Niagara IceDogs	1:2 penalties
09.03.24	Peterborough Petes - Niagara IceDogs	7:5

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