The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sudbury Wolves 60.6%
Draw 18.7%
Niagara IceDogs 20.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.5%
20.3%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.1%
22.1%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sudbury Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sudbury Wolves's performance.
Niagara IceDogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sudbury Wolves than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sudbury Wolves that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Niagara IceDogs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Frasca P. (G)
32. Yermolenko V. (G)
50. Belikov I.
72. Barnes B. (A)
93. Blonda L.
7. Cheynowski C.
26. Chovan J. (A)
33. Colosimo C.
19. Clayton B. (C)
25. Dell'Elce S.
84. Gonchar A.
17. Edgar R. (A)
22. Greene N.
92. Galiyanov I.
51. Harris K.
73. Gallacher L.
77. Henderson R. (A)
64. Hull C.
2. Kearns F.
6. Knauft J.
73. Kwajah K.
44. Kramer T.
66. Lemieux J. (A)
22. Lappan M.
27. Martin H.
11. Lewandowski C.
71. Nemec A.
16. Merrill F.
97. Provorov V.
86. Mullins W.
96. Smith P.
93. Read N.
88. Ula G.
43. Smith R. (A)
89. Ula P.
49. Spencer L.
86. Walker M.
91. Stejskal S.
Substitutes
30. Leonard O. (G)
35. Haffner C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
03:42, 0 - 1, Read N. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
09:27, 1 - 1, Lemieux J. (G), Nemec A. (A), Chovan J. (A2)
3rd Period (6 - 0)
05:21, 2 - 1, Ula G. (G), Chovan J. (A), Nemec A. (A2)
06:22, 3 - 1, Nemec A. (G), Chovan J. (A), Lemieux J. (A2)
07:20, 4 - 1, Chovan J. (G), Nemec A. (A), Lemieux J. (A2)
07:45, 5 - 1, Greene N. (G), Kwajah K. (A), Smith P. (A2)
19:09, 6 - 1, Lemieux J. (G), Gonchar A. (A), Nemec A. (A2)
19:53, 7 - 1, Provorov V. (G), Kwajah K. (A), Henderson R. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 2.
Sudbury has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Niagara has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Niagara may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sudbury has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, Niagara has had a run of games away from home.
Sudbury carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sudbury has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 91:66 (averaging 4.6:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sudbury against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 40:29 goals (averaging 4.4:3.2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Niagara IceDogs - the odds 3.67 are the expected chance of winning is 25.11%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Frasca P. (G) 
Yermolenko V. (G) 
Belikov I. 
Chovan J. (A) 
Gonchar A. 
Kramer T. 
Stejskal S. 
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