Match Info

OHL

Date: 2 January 2026, Friday

Location: Meridian Centre (St. Catharines, ON)


	Niagara IceDogs		Windsor Spitfires

	1	X	2
	3.96	4.45	1.64
	4.2	4.6	1.5
	4	4.5	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↓ (4.1)	4.52 ↓ (4.58)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niagara IceDogs
22.3%

Draw
20%

Windsor Spitfires
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

19.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

17.9%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niagara IceDogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Windsor Spitfires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Windsor Spitfires than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Yermolenko V. (G)	30. Newlove M. (G)
7. Cheynowski C.	61. Belchetz E.
12. Czata E. (C)	42. Brocklehurst M.
27. Dell'Elce S.	5. Brown J.
44. Doherty S.	10. Costello S.
17. Edgar R.	44. Cristoforo A. (A)
26. Frolov A.	78. Davis C.
92. Galiyanov I.	53. Dubowsky C.
64. Hull C.	77. Garden E.
6. Knauft J.	19. Gaymes N.
19. Monks J.	11. Harvey C.
21. Patterson R. (A)	58. Hicks C.
93. Read N.	2. Kennedy W. (A)
16. Reid H.	22. Lemieux J.
3. Reisnecker B.	80. Makysh B.
25. Roobroeck R. (A)	17. McLaughlin J.
43. Smith R.	71. Nesbitt J. (A)
49. Spencer L.	27. Robinson A.
8. Tiller G. (A)	28. Walton C.
	24. Woodall C.
Substitutes
77. Robertson C. (G)	33. Costanzo J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
16:05, 0 - 1, Cristoforo A. (G), Nesbitt J. (A), Belchetz E. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
14:18, 1 - 1, Edgar R. (G), Patterson R. (A), Roobroeck R. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
04:17, 1 - 2, Garden E. (G),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 1.

Niagara is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Windsor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Niagara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Niagara has had a series of home games.

In this match, Windsor is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 66:77. (average 3.3:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Niagara won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:41. (average 4:4.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Niagara IceDogs - the odds 4.1 are the expected chance of winning is 22.01%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niagara IceDogs
OHL
31.12.25	Niagara IceDogs - Oshawa Generals	2:1 ✺
29.12.25	Brampton Steelheads - Niagara IceDogs	3:4 ✺
28.12.25	Niagara IceDogs - Brampton Steelheads	4:3 ✺
20.12.25	Niagara IceDogs - Sarnia Sting	4:3 OT ✺
19.12.25	Niagara IceDogs - Flint Firebirds	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL
- Windsor Spitfires
OHL
31.12.25	Windsor Spitfires - Saginaw Spirit	6:0 ✺
28.12.25	Flint Firebirds - Windsor Spitfires	1:4 ✺
18.12.25	Windsor Spitfires - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	6:2 ✺
14.12.25	Ottawa 67s - Windsor Spitfires	2:1 ✺
12.12.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Windsor Spitfires	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
02.10.25	Windsor Spitfires - Niagara IceDogs	6:0
05.01.25	Niagara IceDogs - Windsor Spitfires	3:4 OT
26.10.24	Windsor Spitfires - Niagara IceDogs	2:1
21.09.24	Windsor Spitfires - Niagara IceDogs	5:3
07.01.24	Niagara IceDogs - Windsor Spitfires	5:2
28.10.23	Windsor Spitfires - Niagara IceDogs	6:7
28.10.22	Niagara IceDogs - Windsor Spitfires	3:11

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