Match Info

OHL

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Peterborough Memorial Centre (Peterborough, ON)


	Peterborough Petes		Guelph Storm

	1	X	2
	1.54	5.16	4.07	Watch
	1.4	5	5
	1.44	5.25	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.81)	5.14 ↑ (4.56)	4.49 ↑ (3.17)

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough Petes
62.1%

Draw
17.7%

Guelph Storm
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

20.2%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

21.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough Petes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peterborough Petes's performance.

Guelph Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guelph Storm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Petes than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough Petes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guelph Storm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Peterborough Petes - Guelph Storm Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Rye E. (G)	30. Jovanovski Z. (G)
15. Cameron C. (C)	17. Babin P.
28. Faulkner B.	13. Beauchesne Q. (A)
8. Frazer G.	3. Frossard E.
19. Hammond B.	73. Gallacher L.
12. Kolarik L.	75. Haponenko M.
10. Levac A.	91. Hopkins T.
44. Lutz Y.	93. McFadden W.
3. Marentette T.	15. Miedema E.
29. McCallum B. (A)	20. Serlin L.
61. McGregor K.	81. Shybinskyi I.
16. Novotny A.	4. Singh R.
18. Parish F.	9. Snelgrove P.
72. Perreault M.	28. Soares C.
71. Petrovski J. (A)	21. Spada G.
92. Soto M.	12. Topp R. (A)
6. Strohack G.	77. Wycisk J.
22. Walton K.
26. Young A. (A)
Substitutes
34. Johnston M. (G)	55. Ellsworth C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
11:55, 1 - 0, Walton K. (G), Petrovski J. (A), Novotny A. (A2)
15:06, 2 - 0, Kolarik L. (G), Lutz Y. (A), McGregor K. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
09:22, 2 - 1, Frossard E. (G), Serlin L. (A),
10:28, 2 - 2, Spada G. (G), Wycisk J. (A), Singh R. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 0)
1, Miedema E. (Penalty Shot),
1, Kolarik L. (Penalty Shot),
2, Wycisk J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Walton K. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 2.

Peterborough is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Guelph has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Peterborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Peterborough might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peterborough won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 58:83. (average 2.9:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Peterborough won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:32. (average 3.3:3.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Guelph Storm - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 29.01%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough Petes
OHL
08.01.26	Peterborough Petes - Oshawa Generals	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Guelph Storm - Peterborough Petes	3:2 penalties ✺
03.01.26	Owen Sound Attack - Peterborough Petes	3:5 ✺
01.01.26	Peterborough Petes - Kingston Frontenacs	3:1 ✺
28.12.25	Oshawa Generals - Peterborough Petes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLWWW
- Guelph Storm
OHL
09.01.26	Guelph Storm - Barrie Colts	3:6 ✺
07.01.26	Owen Sound Attack - Guelph Storm	1:4 ✺
04.01.26	Guelph Storm - Peterborough Petes	3:2 penalties ✺
02.01.26	Guelph Storm - Brantford Bulldogs	6:4 ✺
31.12.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Guelph Storm	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
04.01.26	Guelph Storm - Peterborough Petes	3:2 penalties
08.12.24	Peterborough Petes - Guelph Storm	5:3
11.10.24	Guelph Storm - Peterborough Petes	6:3
21.09.24	Peterborough Petes - Guelph Storm	3:2
15.02.24	Peterborough Petes - Guelph Storm	1:4
15.12.23	Guelph Storm - Peterborough Petes	7:5
12.02.23	Peterborough Petes - Guelph Storm	3:5

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