Match Info

OHL

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Sleeman Centre (Guelph, ON)


	Guelph Storm		Peterborough Petes

	1	X	2
	1.84	4.77	2.99	Watch
	1.8	4.4	3
	1.8	4.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.07)	4.56 ↑ (4.47)	3 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guelph Storm
49.9%

Draw
19.9%

Peterborough Petes
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

20.6%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

21%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guelph Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guelph Storm's performance.

Peterborough Petes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough Petes than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Guelph Storm - Peterborough Petes Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guelph (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)	34. Johnston M. (G)
17. Babin P.	15. Cameron C. (C)
13. Beauchesne Q. (A)	91. DiCunzolo G.
3. Frossard E.	28. Faulkner B.
73. Gallacher L.	88. Gowan B.
75. Haponenko M.	12. Kolarik L.
91. Hopkins T.	10. Levac A.
93. McFadden W.	44. Lutz Y.
72. McKenzie H.	3. Marentette T.
15. Miedema E.	29. McCallum B. (A)
26. Naish Z.	61. McGregor K.
23. Paquette C. (C)	18. Parish F.
20. Serlin L.	11. Partridge B.
81. Shybinskyi I.	72. Perreault M.
4. Singh R.	71. Petrovski J.
9. Snelgrove P.	92. Soto M.
21. Spada G.	6. Strohack G.
77. Wycisk J.	7. Ula G.
	26. Young A.
Substitutes
55. Ellsworth C. (G)	30. Rye E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
06:05, 0 - 1, Lutz Y. (G), Soto M. (A), Levac A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
01:00, 1 - 1, Shybinskyi I. (G), Paquette C. (A), Beauchesne Q. (A2)
08:45, 2 - 1, Serlin L. (G), Singh R. (A), Spada G. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:45, 2 - 2, Young A. (G),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Miedema E. (Penalty Shot),
1, McGregor K. (Penalty Shot),
2, Wycisk J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kolarik L. (Penalty Shot),
3, Paquette C. (Penalty Shot),
3, Levac A. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guelph won 3.

Guelph is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Peterborough is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Peterborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Guelph has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Peterborough will win today's game, with odds of 2.63.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guelph won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 86:57. (average 4.3:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Guelph won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 54:27. (average 4.9:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Guelph Storm - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.44%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guelph Storm
OHL
02.01.26	Guelph Storm - Brantford Bulldogs	6:4 ✺
31.12.25	Kingston Frontenacs - Guelph Storm	5:3 ✺
30.12.25	Ottawa 67s - Guelph Storm	5:1 ✺
19.12.25	Sudbury Wolves - Guelph Storm	6:2 ✺
18.12.25	North Bay Battalion - Guelph Storm	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLL
- Peterborough Petes
OHL
03.01.26	Owen Sound Attack - Peterborough Petes	3:5 ✺
01.01.26	Peterborough Petes - Kingston Frontenacs	3:1 ✺
28.12.25	Oshawa Generals - Peterborough Petes	0:2 ✺
19.12.25	Ottawa 67s - Peterborough Petes	4:1 ✺
18.12.25	Peterborough Petes - Niagara IceDogs	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

OHL
08.12.24	Peterborough Petes - Guelph Storm	5:3
11.10.24	Guelph Storm - Peterborough Petes	6:3
21.09.24	Peterborough Petes - Guelph Storm	3:2
15.02.24	Peterborough Petes - Guelph Storm	1:4
15.12.23	Guelph Storm - Peterborough Petes	7:5
12.02.23	Peterborough Petes - Guelph Storm	3:5
20.01.23	Guelph Storm - Peterborough Petes	6:4

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