Match Info

NHL

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Philadelphia Flyers		Buffalo Sabres

	1	X	2
	2.75	4	2.25	Watch
	2.69	4.3	2.23
	2.77	4.3	2.21
	2.65	4.38	2.23	Watch
	2.75	4.33	2.2
	2.72	4.57	2.25
	2.7	4.25	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.17)	4.3 ↑ (4.28)	2.22 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Flyers
35%

Draw
22.1%

Buffalo Sabres
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

22.1%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

21.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Flyers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Philadelphia Flyers's form might have worsened.

Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buffalo Sabres's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Flyers than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Philadelphia Flyers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buffalo Sabres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	37.5%	31.2%

Philadelphia Flyers - Buffalo Sabres Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Buffalo will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 61.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Buffalo (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Ersson S. (G)	92. Ellis C. (G)
6. Sanheim T.	26. Dahlin R.
8. York C.	23. Samuelsson M.
11. Konecny T.	72. Thompson T.
22. Dvorak C.	9. Norris J.
46. Zegras T.	6. Benson Z.
Line 2
9. Drysdale J.	21. Timmins C.
36. Andrae E.	4. Byram B.
74. Tippett O.	22. Quinn J.
14. Couturier S.	71. McLeod R.
39. Michkov M.	17. Zucker J.
Line 3
5. Zamula Y.	78. Bryson J.
24. Seeler N.	25. Power O.
10. Brink B.	89. Tuch A.
27. Cates N.	86. Ostlund N.
29. Grebyonkin N.	91. Doan J.
Line 4
19. Hathaway G.	29. Malenstyn B.
18. Abols R.	19. Krebs P.
44. Deslauriers N.	44. Dunne J.
Substitutes
80. Vladar D. (G)	1. Luukkonen U. (G)
Coaches
. Tocchet R.	. Ruff L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
03:20, York C. (2 min),
04:08, 0 - 1, Zucker J. (G), Doan J. (A), Norris J. (A2)
04:38, Michkov M. (2 min),
05:30, Thompson T. (2 min),
06:46, Timmins C. (2 min),
08:26, 1 - 1, Konecny T. (G), Michkov M. (A), Sanheim T. (A2)
08:26, (2 min),
09:04, 2 - 1, Zegras T. (G), Sanheim T. (A), Konecny T. (A2)
09:25, 3 - 1, Brink B. (G), Cates N. (A), Grebyonkin N. (A2)
17:19, Abols R. (2 min),
19:40, Krebs P. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
01:45, 4 - 1, Cates N. (G), Brink B. (A), Drysdale J. (A2)
09:24, Deslauriers N. (2 min),
09:24, Hathaway G. (2 min),
09:24, Dunne J. (2 min),
11:48, 4 - 2, Byram B. (G), Tuch A. (A), Quinn J. (A2)
12:43, 5 - 2, Tippett O. (G), Michkov M. (A), Couturier S. (A2)
16:50, Dahlin R. (5 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
02:46, Sanheim T. (2 min),
06:21, Michkov M. (2 min),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Philadelphia: Ristolainen R. (Hand Injury)

There will not play in Buffalo: Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Kesselring M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kulich J. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Philadelphia: Foerster T. (Upper-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 69:64. (average 3.5:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:33. (average 4:3.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Buffalo Sabres - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.45%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Flyers
NHL
01.12.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:5 ✺
29.11.25	New Jersey Devils - Philadelphia Flyers	3:5 ✺
28.11.25	New York Islanders - Philadelphia Flyers	3:4 penalties ✺
26.11.25	Florida Panthers - Philadelphia Flyers	2:4 ✺
24.11.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Philadelphia Flyers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWWWL
- Buffalo Sabres
NHL
01.12.25	Buffalo Sabres - Winnipeg Jets	5:1 ✺
29.11.25	Minnesota Wild - Buffalo Sabres	2:3 penalties ✺
28.11.25	Buffalo Sabres - New Jersey Devils	0:5 ✺
26.11.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres	4:2 ✺
23.11.25	Buffalo Sabres - Carolina Hurricanes	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
17.04.25	Buffalo Sabres - Philadelphia Flyers	5:4
29.03.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Buffalo Sabres	7:4
16.11.24	Philadelphia Flyers - Buffalo Sabres	5:2
05.04.24	Buffalo Sabres - Philadelphia Flyers	4:2
03.11.23	Buffalo Sabres - Philadelphia Flyers	1:5
01.11.23	Philadelphia Flyers - Buffalo Sabres	2:5
01.04.23	Philadelphia Flyers - Buffalo Sabres	3:6

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