Match Info

SWEDEN: ALLETTAN PLAY OFFS - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 3

Date: 4 April 2023, Tuesday


	Piteå HC		Troja Ljungby

	1	X	2
	2.9	4.3	1.87
	3	4.4	1.93
	2.81	3.89	1.9
	2.76	3.85	2.04
	2.95	4.1	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.52)	4.11 ↑ (3.65)	1.96 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piteå HC
31.5%

Draw
22.1%

Troja Ljungby
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

24.1%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

21.4%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piteå HC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Troja Ljungby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Troja Ljungby's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piteå HC than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troja Ljungby than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Piteå HC - Troja Ljungby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Piteå HC won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Troja Ljungby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Piteå HC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Piteå HC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piteå HC
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Play Offs
01.04.23	Piteå HC - Hudiksvall	2:4 ✺
30.03.23	Väsby - Piteå HC	4:1 ✺
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Norra
26.03.23	Piteå HC - Mariestad BoIS	5:0 ✺
23.03.23	Mariestad BoIS - Piteå HC	2:0 ✺
22.03.23	Mariestad BoIS - Piteå HC	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLW
- Troja Ljungby
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Play Offs
01.04.23	Troja Ljungby - Väsby	4:2 ✺
30.03.23	Kalmar - Troja Ljungby	3:2 ✺
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Norra
23.03.23	Karlskrona - Troja Ljungby	5:6 OT ✺
22.03.23	Karlskrona - Troja Ljungby	6:4 ✺
19.03.23	Troja Ljungby - Karlskrona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
07.04.18	Piteå HC - Troja Ljungby	0:4
24.03.18	Troja Ljungby - Piteå HC	7:2
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Play Offs
28.02.15	Piteå HC - Troja Ljungby	3:5
26.02.15	Troja Ljungby - Piteå HC	3:1
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
01.04.14	Piteå HC - Troja Ljungby	3:4
18.03.14	Troja Ljungby - Piteå HC	2:5

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