Match Info

NHL

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Live 1, V Sport Premium
France	beIN Sports MAX 5
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Peru	Disney+
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World	NHL.tv


	Pittsburgh Penguins		Montreal Canadiens

	1	X	2
	2.55	4.1	2.25	Watch
	2.45	4.00	2.35
	2.55	4.05	2.38
	2.57	4.15	2.38
	2.51	4.4	2.34	Watch
	2.55	4.1	2.35
	2.59	4.31	2.43
	2.48	4.1	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.43)	4.15 ↓ (4.25)	2.35 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Penguins
37.2%

Draw
22.7%

Montreal Canadiens
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

22.2%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Pittsburgh Penguins - Montreal Canadiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Silovs A. (G)	75. Dobes J. (G)
65. Karlsson E.	53. Dobson N.
72. Carlile D.	8. Matheson M. (A)
67. Rakell R.	13. Caufield C.
87. Crosby S. (C)	14. Suzuki N. (C)
14. Robertson N.	22. Kreider C.
Line 2
6. Korczak K.	45. Carrier A.
49. Girard S.	48. Hutson L.
71. Malkin E. (A)	93. Demidov I.
18. Novak T.	15. Newhook A.
59. Chinakhov Y.	20. Slafkovsky J.
Line 3
58. Letang K. (A)	72. Xhekaj A.
57. Van Riemsdyk T.	47. Struble J.
11. Hallander F.	77. Dach K.
22. Lapierre H.	24. Danault P.
41. Koivunen V.	85. Texier A.
Line 4
10. Kuzmenko A.	17. Anderson J. (A)
81. Kindel B.	71. Evans J.
19. Dewar C.	76. Bolduc Z.
Substitutes
1. Murashov S. (G)	35. Montembeault S. (G)
Coaches
. Muse D.	. St. Louis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
03:49, 0 - 1, Caufield C. (G), Suzuki N. (A), Hutson L. (A2)
13:38, Matheson M. (2 min),
14:07, 1 - 1, Malkin E. (G), Letang K. (A), Lapierre H. (A2)
15:54, Rakell R. (2 min),
2nd Period (4 - 1)
00:32, 2 - 1, Carlile D. (G), Rakell R. (A), Karlsson E. (A2)
04:17, Dobson N. (2 min),
07:59, 3 - 1, Girard S. (G), Crosby S. (A), Korczak K. (A2)
14:01, 4 - 1, Novak T. (G), Chinakhov Y. (A), Malkin E. (A2)
14:54, (2 min),
15:32, 5 - 1, Kindel B. (G), Karlsson E. (A), Novak T. (A2)
17:16, Van Riemsdyk T. (2 min),
17:16, Dach K. (2 min),
18:46, 5 - 2, Suzuki N. (G), Hutson L. (A), Dobson N. (A2)
20:00, Dobson N. (2 min),
20:00, Malkin E. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
03:31, 5 - 3, Caufield C. (G), Kreider C. (A),
09:05, Anderson J. (2 min),
16:19, Chinakhov Y. (2 min),
18:52, 5 - 4, Kreider C. (G), Suzuki N. (A), Demidov I. (A2)
19:16, 5 - 5, Demidov I. (G), Suzuki N. (A), Hutson L. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:33, 6 - 5, Novak T. (G), Malkin E. (A), Letang K. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 2.

Pittsburgh has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Montreal shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Montreal could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Pittsburgh: Brazeau J. (Lower-Body Injury) Graves R. (Knee Injury) Rust B. (Upper-Body Injury).

Confirmed absences for Montreal: Guhle K. (Groin Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Pittsburgh: Kindel B. (Lower-Body Injury) Kuzmenko A. (Personal Reasons).

Doubtful / questionable for Montreal: Kapanen O. (Lower-Body Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Pittsburgh has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 68:57 (averaging 3.4:2.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pittsburgh against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 33:29 goals (averaging 3.3:2.9 per game).

Outrights of NHL for now

Montreal Canadiens: 3.88% Pittsburgh Penguins: 1.2%

Last Results with these Odds

Montreal Canadiens - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.88%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
30.09.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Pittsburgh Penguins	0:7 ✺
26.09.26	Buffalo Sabres - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:3 ✺
24.09.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:0 ✺
22.09.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Detroit Red Wings	4:7 ✺
21.09.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Buffalo Sabres	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLLW
- Montreal Canadiens
NHL
29.09.26	Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens	2:3 ✺
26.09.26	Montreal Canadiens - Ottawa Senators	4:2
26.09.26	Ottawa Senators - Montreal Canadiens	4:3 ✺
21.09.26	Montreal Canadiens - Ottawa Senators	3:2 AET ✺
19.09.26	Montreal Canadiens - Toronto Maple Leafs	4:3 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
21.12.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Montreal Canadiens	4:3 penalties
20.12.25	Montreal Canadiens - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:0
11.12.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Montreal Canadiens	2:4
22.09.25	Montreal Canadiens - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:1 penalties
12.12.24	Montreal Canadiens - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:9
02.11.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - Montreal Canadiens	3:1
14.10.24	Montreal Canadiens - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:6

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