The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Toronto Maple Leafs 38%
Draw 22.5%
Montreal Canadiens 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.3%
22.9%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Montreal Canadiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Toronto Maple Leafs - Montreal Canadiens Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Montreal (3.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -1.5, OT - Montreal (3.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Montreal (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
EH +1 - Montreal (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Montreal (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
72. Bobrovsky S. (G)
75. Dobes J. (G)
43. Raddysh D.
53. Dobson N.
44. Rielly M.
8. Matheson M.
96. Roslovic J.
13. Caufield C.
34. Matthews A.
14. Suzuki N.
86. Marchenko K.
22. Kreider C.
Line 2
8. Tanev C.
45. Carrier A.
22. McCabe J.
48. Hutson L.
88. Nylander W.
93. Demidov I.
91. Tavares J.
15. Newhook A.
92. McKenna G.
20. Slafkovsky J.
Line 3
28. Stecher T.
72. Xhekaj A.
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
47. Struble J.
15. Sissons C.
77. Dach K.
20. Paul N.
24. Danault P.
53. Cowan E.
85. Texier A.
Line 4
19. MacEwen Z.
17. Anderson J.
73. Blueger T.
71. Evans J.
24. Duhaime B.
76. Bolduc Z.
Substitutes
41. Stolarz A. (G)
35. Montembeault S. (G)
Coaches
. Hiller J.
. St. Louis M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
00:48, 1 - 0, Nylander W. (G), Rielly M. (A), Marchenko K. (A2)
08:33, Paul N. (2 min),
10:53, 1 - 1, Anderson J. (G), Carrier A. (A), Dach K. (A2)
11:42, Demidov I. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:52, 1 - 2, Bolduc Z. (G), Matheson M. (A), Anderson J. (A2)
12:56, McCabe J. (2 min),
12:56, Newhook A. (2 min),
17:45, Caufield C. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:01, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
09:16, Texier A. (2 min),
13:12, 1 - 3, Carrier A. (G),
15:46, 2 - 3, Nylander W. (G), Cowan E. (A), Tavares J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
Montreal is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Montreal may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Toronto: Domi M.
(Back Injury)
Merzlikins E.
(Shoulder Injury).
Confirmed absences for Montreal: Guhle K.
(Groin Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Toronto: Joshua D.
(Abdominal strain)
Paul N.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Montreal: Demidov I.
(Foot Injury)
Kapanen O.
(Lower-Body Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Toronto has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 60:49 (averaging 3:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Toronto against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 26:24 goals (averaging 2.9:2.7 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Montreal Canadiens: 3.88% Toronto Maple Leafs: 2.48%
Last Results with these Odds
Montreal Canadiens - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.78%, but this team recently wins 24% of matches with these odds.