Match Info

NHL

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday

Location: PPG Paints Arena (Pittsburgh, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN USA, MSG Sportsnet, MSG, NESN Plus, NHL Network, SportsNet Pittsburgh
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Pittsburgh Penguins		Winnipeg Jets

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.25	3.45	Watch
	1.87	4.25	3.20
	1.87	4.30	3.50
	1.93	4.42	3.28
	1.9	4.5	3.3	Watch
	1.91	4.40	3.25
	1.91	4.52	3.31
	1.90	4.30	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 (1.89)	4.37 ↑ (4.27)	3.32 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Penguins
49.9%

Draw
21.6%

Winnipeg Jets
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

22.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

22.3%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Winnipeg Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winnipeg Jets than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Pittsburgh Penguins - Winnipeg Jets Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Winnipeg will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pittsburgh: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Winnipeg (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - PIT Penguins (1.57) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Murashov S. (G)	33. Stevenson C. (G)
65. Karlsson E.	2. DeMelo D.
72. Carlile D.	44. Morrissey J. (A)
67. Rakell R.	91. Perfetti C.
87. Crosby S. (C)	55. Scheifele M. (A)
14. Robertson N.	81. Connor K.
Line 2
6. Korczak K.	4. Pionk N.
49. Girard S.	54. Samberg D.
71. Malkin E. (A)	13. Vilardi G.
18. Novak T.	61. Bjorck V.
59. Chinakhov Y.	27. Rosen I.
Line 3
58. Letang K. (A)	77. Bauer T.
57. Van Riemsdyk T.	38. Ferraro M.
41. Koivunen V.	93. Lambert B.
81. Kindel B.	17. Lowry A. (C)
62. Kuzmenko A.	36. Barron M.
Line 4
22. Lapierre H.	9. Iafallo A.
46. Lizotte B.	7. Namestnikov V.
19. Dewar C.	62. Niederreiter N.
Substitutes
37. Silovs A. (G)	74. Skinner S. (G)
Coaches
. Muse D.	. Arniel S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
02:01, Bjorck V. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:12, Morrissey J. (2 min),
09:27, 1 - 0, Kindel B. (G), Carlile D. (A), Karlsson E. (A2)
13:05, Lizotte B. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
04:43, 1 - 1, Iafallo A. (G),
07:08, 1 - 2, Lowry A. (G), Iafallo A. (A), DeMelo D. (A2)
08:53, 2 - 2, Carlile D. (G), Kindel B. (A), Koivunen V. (A2)
09:02, 2 - 3, Perfetti C. (G), Morrissey J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Winnipeg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Pittsburgh is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Pittsburgh: Brazeau J. (Lower-Body Injury) Graves R. (Knee Injury) Rust B. (Upper-Body Injury).

Confirmed absences for Winnipeg: Hellebuyck C. (Off the roster) Salomonsson E. (Shoulder Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Pittsburgh in today's match, at odds of 1.94.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Pittsburgh has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:54 (averaging 3:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pittsburgh against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 28:23 goals (averaging 2.8:2.3 per game).

Outrights of NHL for now

Pittsburgh Penguins: 1.2% Winnipeg Jets: 0.75%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
03.10.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Montreal Canadiens	6:5 OT ✺
30.09.26	Philadelphia Flyers - Pittsburgh Penguins	0:7 ✺
26.09.26	Buffalo Sabres - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:3 ✺
24.09.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:0 ✺
22.09.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Detroit Red Wings	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLL
- Winnipeg Jets
NHL
04.10.26	Detroit Red Wings - Winnipeg Jets	2:3 ✺
02.10.26	Winnipeg Jets - Boston Bruins	3:4 OT ✺
25.09.26	Colorado Avalanche - Winnipeg Jets	5:2 ✺
22.09.26	Winnipeg Jets - Edmonton Oilers	1:2 OT ✺
21.09.26	Winnipeg Jets - Colorado Avalanche	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
21.03.26	Pittsburgh Penguins - Winnipeg Jets	5:4 penalties
01.11.25	Winnipeg Jets - Pittsburgh Penguins	5:2
22.11.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - Winnipeg Jets	1:4
20.10.24	Winnipeg Jets - Pittsburgh Penguins	6:3
10.02.24	Winnipeg Jets - Pittsburgh Penguins	2:1
06.02.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - Winnipeg Jets	3:0
13.01.23	Pittsburgh Penguins - Winnipeg Jets	1:4

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