Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Polyot Rybinsk		Dizelist Penza

	1	X	2
	1.87	4.28	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 (1.87)	4.28 ↓ (4.3)	3.05 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polyot Rybinsk
48.8%

Draw
21.3%

Dizelist Penza
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

21.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

16.1%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Polyot Rybinsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Dizelist Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polyot Rybinsk than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polyot Rybinsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizelist Penza than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dizelist Penza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Polyot is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dizelist is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dizelist could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dizelist have a series of home games.

Polyot will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Polyot won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 38-95.

Including matches at home between the teams Polyot won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15-50.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polyot Rybinsk
RHL
03.12.21	Polyot Rybinsk - Dizelist Penza	2:3 ✺
30.11.21	Polyot Rybinsk - Kristall Berdsk	3:0 ✺
21.11.21	Dizelist Penza - Polyot Rybinsk	5:4 OT ✺
20.11.21	Dizelist Penza - Polyot Rybinsk	2:3 ✺
17.11.21	Kristall Berdsk - Polyot Rybinsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWL
- Dizelist Penza
RHL
03.12.21	Polyot Rybinsk - Dizelist Penza	2:3 ✺
25.11.21	Dizelist Penza - GUOR Yaroslavl	7:0 ✺
24.11.21	Dizelist Penza - GUOR Yaroslavl	6:1 ✺
21.11.21	Dizelist Penza - Polyot Rybinsk	5:4 OT ✺
20.11.21	Dizelist Penza - Polyot Rybinsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
03.12.21	Polyot Rybinsk - Dizelist Penza	2:3
21.11.21	Dizelist Penza - Polyot Rybinsk	5:4 OT
20.11.21	Dizelist Penza - Polyot Rybinsk	2:3
14.01.21	Polyot Rybinsk - Dizelist Penza	2:5
05.11.20	Dizelist Penza - Polyot Rybinsk	3:2
29.01.20	Dizelist Penza - Polyot Rybinsk	5:2
28.01.20	Dizelist Penza - Polyot Rybinsk	4:5

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