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Current Win Probability
Red Machine Junior 16.5%
Draw 18.2%
Kapitan Stupino 65.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.8%
18.3%
56.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.8%
17.6%
59.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Machine Junior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Red Machine Junior's form might have worsened.
Kapitan Stupino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kapitan Stupino's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Machine Junior than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Red Machine Junior, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapitan Stupino than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kapitan Stupino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Red Machine Junior - Kapitan Stupino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
70. Abdulgaziev V. (G)
40. Gulkovsky K. (G)
21. Novikov A.
42. Itkin A. (A)
7. Abdrashitov T. (C)
95. Dautov M.
98. Yaskin F.
82. Drozdov V.
89. Serbin E.
56. Avramov F. (C)
77. Storchak D. (A)
71. Zaitsev M. (A)
Line 2
18. Dyomkin I.
94. Kozlov I.
4. Ginters R.
4. Kruglikov D.
97. Bosamykin G.
78. Sulima V.
85. Krakhmalev A.
20. Vergeichik V.
47. Kozhanov I.
47. Rakov P.
Line 3
13. Sakhayev N. (A)
81. Tarasov A.
3. Safin E.
66. Golovatyuk N.
99. Khvatov M.
83. Menshenin Y.
91. Loginov A.
27. Lobanov I.
87. Filimoshin A.
76. Tatulov G.
Line 4
74. Gallyamov A.
90. Barabanov M.
15. Yakushev I.
36. Kutishchev K.
63. Zotov I.
72. Vdovtsov A.
53. Kazakov M.
14. Sidorov I.
Substitutes
1. Veselov M. (G)
52. Beryoza A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
04:26, 0 - 1, Sulima V. (G), Vergeichik V. (A), Rakov P. (A2)
18:25, 0 - 2, Kozlov I. (G), Rakov P. (A), Sulima V. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
00:15, 0 - 3, Avramov F. (G), Itkin A. (A), Drozdov V. (A2)
13:47, 0 - 4, Rakov P. (G), Kruglikov D. (A), Kozlov I. (A2)
16:08, 0 - 5, Rakov P. (G), Sulima V. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
11:27, 0 - 6, Sulima V. (G), Itkin A. (A), Drozdov V. (A2)
11:48, 1 - 6, Bosamykin G. (G),
17:05, 2 - 6, Serbin E. (G), Zotov I. (A),
Preview
Neither of the teams could find their winning rhythm in recent games.
Kapitan Stupino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Red Machine has had a series of home games.
In this match, Kapitan Stupino is the team to beat.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Red Machine won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6.
Including home match between the teams, Red Machine won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6.
Watch
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Abdulgaziev V. (G) 
Vergeichik V. 
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