Match Info

MHL

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Krasnaya Armiya		Kapitan Stupino

	1	X	2
	1.27	6.05	7.59
	1.29	5.85	7.45	Watch
	1.26	5.8	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)	5.9 ↑ (5.72)	7.55 ↑ (7.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnaya Armiya
72.2%

Draw
15.6%

Kapitan Stupino
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

16.2%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.2%

15.7%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krasnaya Armiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Kapitan Stupino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnaya Armiya than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapitan Stupino than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Krasnaya Armiya - Kapitan Stupino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
64. Dubrovin K. (G)	50. Rudovich P. (G)
76. Shuravin M. (A)	6. Timashev D.
36. Shelkov M.	95. Dautov M. (A)
99. Zaitsev M.	78. Sulima V.
84. Lagoda G. (A)	27. Lobanov I. (A)
74. Frolov N.	56. Avramov F. (C)
Line 2
86. Gubanov A.	4. Kruglikov D.
54. Shtyrhunov V.	94. Kozlov I.
67. Privalov N.	82. Drozdov V.
53. Matveiko Y.	47. Rakov P.
52. Poroshkov D. (C)	71. Zaitsev M.
Line 3
92. Venskel M.	43. Chamayev A.
83. Adamov Y.	66. Golovatyuk N.
73. Mikhailov N.	90. Barabanov M.
50. Okunev I.	36. Kutishchev K.
9. Dontsov A.	83. Menshenin Y.
Line 4
4. Yukin I.	81. Tarasov A.
68. Poss I.	76. Tatulov G.
40. Sidorov P.	20. Vergeichik V.
38. Petrov A.	25. Meshalkin D.
Substitutes
85. Kabisov L.	40. Gulkovsky K. (G)
1. Privalov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:12, 1 - 0, Matveiko Y. (G), Poroshkov D. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnaya Armiya won 5.

Krasnaya Armiya is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kapitan Stupino has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Krasnaya Armiya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Krasnaya Armiya is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krasnaya Armiya won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 93:37. (average 4.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Krasnaya Armiya won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 58:22. (average 4.5:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krasnaya Armiya
MHL
01.10.25	Krasnaya Armiya - AKM-Junior	3:4 penalties ✺
24.09.25	Amurskie Tigry - Krasnaya Armiya	1:5 ✺
22.09.25	Tayfun - Krasnaya Armiya	1:2 penalties ✺
20.09.25	Sakhalinskie Akuly - Krasnaya Armiya	1:7 ✺
16.09.25	Krasnaya Armiya - Atlant	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWW
- Kapitan Stupino
MHL
01.10.25	MHC Spartak - Kapitan Stupino	5:1 ✺
28.09.25	Kapitan Stupino - Atlant	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Red Machine Junior - Kapitan Stupino	1:6 ✺
21.09.25	Almaz - Kapitan Stupino	3:1 ✺
17.09.25	Kapitan Stupino - Loko	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
16.08.25	Krasnaya Armiya - Kapitan Stupino	3:2
MHL
10.01.25	Kapitan Stupino - Krasnaya Armiya	2:5
09.01.25	Kapitan Stupino - Krasnaya Armiya	2:6
29.10.24	Krasnaya Armiya - Kapitan Stupino	4:1
28.10.24	Krasnaya Armiya - Kapitan Stupino	6:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
16.08.24	Krasnaya Armiya - Kapitan Stupino	5:0
MHL
15.02.24	Kapitan Stupino - Krasnaya Armiya	2:5

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