Match Info

DEL2 - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Donau-Arena (Regensburg)


	Regensburg		EHC Freiburg

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.75	3.80
	1.62	4.75	3.90
	1.68	4.40	3.70
	1.60	4.56	3.83
	1.62	4.72	4.1	Watch
	1.58	4.50	3.75
	1.59	4.40	4.14
	1.64	4.50	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)	4.57 (4.57)	3.89 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Regensburg
56.5%

Draw
20%

EHC Freiburg
23.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.1%

20.3%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

21.5%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Regensburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

EHC Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Regensburg than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Regensburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EHC Freiburg than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Regensburg - EHC Freiburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Autio O. (G)	35. Schmidt O. (G)
8. Naud G.	27. Plouffe D.
74. Haiskanen C.	86. De Los Rios A.
97. Bracco J.	20. McCallum L.
77. Peter D.	9. Linsenmaier N.
89. Ward T.	89. Muhlbauer L.
Line 2
29. Mahler N.	55. Wirth M.
16. Zerressen P.	95. Kuhnhauser K.
10. Hauner N.	93. Bowles P.
91. Vause T.	98. Gallant C.
81. Slezak K.	12. Dopfner A.
Line 3
11. Bauer M.	19. Sezemsky T.
92. Demetz P.	8. Schlenker C.
21. Angaran A.	81. Billich C.
17. Payeur S.	17. Khaidarov A.
9. Langmeier P.	21. Kiefersauer C.
Line 4
54. Binder M.	24. Leitner M.
18. Zwickl S.	23. Bechtold P.
26. Bauer Yannic	15. Steinhauser L.
19. Ontl C.	68. Ludwig F.
Substitutes
30. Milic A. (G)	76. Goss C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
10:45, 1 - 0, Ward T. (G), Haiskanen C. (A), Bracco J. (A2)
13:57, 1 - 1, McCallum L. (G), Plouffe D. (A), Ludwig F. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
12:17, 2 - 1, Ward T. (G), Peter D. (A),
15:28, 2 - 2, Billich C. (G), Plouffe D. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
04:15, 2 - 3, McCallum L. (G), Bowles P. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Regensburg won 1.

Regensburg has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Freiburg has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Regensburg carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Regensburg in today's match, at odds of 1.62.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Regensburg has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:51 (averaging 3.6:3.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Regensburg against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 33:23 goals (averaging 4.1:2.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Regensburg	10	5	0	3	2	33:27	18
13	Freiburg	10	2	1	2	5	20:30	10

Last Results with these Odds

Regensburg - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.11%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EV Regensburg
German DEL2
02.10.26	Weiden - Regensburg	2:5 ✺
27.09.26	Regensburg - Landshut Cannibals	7:3 ✺
25.09.26	Rote Teufel Bad Nauheim - Regensburg	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Ravensburg - Regensburg	4:3 penalties ✺
18.09.26	Regensburg - Bietigheim-Bissingen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWLW
- EHC Freiburg
German DEL2
02.10.26	EHC Freiburg - Landshut Cannibals	2:3 ✺
27.09.26	EHC Freiburg - Kassel Huskies	1:2 penalties ✺
25.09.26	Memmingen - EHC Freiburg	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Crimmitschau - EHC Freiburg	4:1 ✺
18.09.26	EHC Freiburg - Rote Teufel Bad Nauheim	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German DEL2
27.02.26	Regensburg - EHC Freiburg	4:5 OT
20.01.26	EHC Freiburg - Regensburg	4:1
14.12.25	Regensburg - EHC Freiburg	1:3
26.10.25	EHC Freiburg - Regensburg	2:6
16.02.25	EHC Freiburg - Regensburg	5:4
12.01.25	Regensburg - EHC Freiburg	6:4
22.11.24	EHC Freiburg - Regensburg	3:0

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