Match Info

VHL

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Ledovaya Arena (Rostov)


	Rostov		Neftyanik Almetyevsk

	1	X	2
	5.37	4.52	1.44
	5.89	5.2	1.42	Watch
	5.5	5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.59 ↑ (4.1)	4.91 ↑ (4.43)	1.44 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
16.6%

Draw
18.9%

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

21.1%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

22.2%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rostov's form might have worsened.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neftyanik Almetyevsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rostov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neftyanik Almetyevsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rostov - Neftyanik Almetyevsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Puzyakov M. (G)	37. Nosov G. (G)
94. Voronin N.	90. Sumin A. (A)
11. Tsalpanov Y.	28. Terekhov S.
17. Smolyov I.	59. Terekhov S.
21. Sergiyevsky Y. (C)	50. Komkov D.
8. Sokolov D.	9. Bykov M.
Line 2
49. Balanov Y. (A)	55. Semyonov G.
6. Gapochkin R.	49. Khamidullin D. (C)
78. Kondyrev K.	98. Avramenko I.
25. Sedantsov O.	63. Platonov Y.
26. Urulin S. (A)	88. Bulatov A.
Line 3
44. Grishin P.	75. Ionov S.
5. Makarov S.	4. Chetverikov D.
33. Murat G.	32. Yakupov R.
23. Kamensky Y.	70. Boychuk D.
9. Myagkov V.	71. Shakirov R.
Line 4
	8. Mulyukov I.
	13. Zamaltdinov R.
	19. Khlopotov V. (A)
	77. Marushev M.
Substitutes
28. Klimov D.	73. Nazarov Y. (G)
55. Machugin D.
70. Petkilev Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
03:36, 1 - 0, Sedantsov O. (G),
04:20, 1 - 1, Komkov D. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:31, 1 - 2, Shakirov R. (G), Yakupov R. (A),
13:02, 2 - 2, Urulin S. (G),
14:42, 2 - 3, Shakirov R. (G), Yakupov R. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:59, 3 - 3, Urulin S. (G), Sedantsov O. (A),
09:00, 3 - 4, Terekhov S. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 1.

Rostov has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Neftyanik Almetyevsk is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Neftyanik Almetyevsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rostov has had a series of away games.

In this match, Neftyanik Almetyevsk is a strong favorite.

We predict that Neftyanik Almetyevsk will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:40. (average 2.3:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 2.7:3.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Rostov - the odds 4.1 are the expected chance of winning is 22.84%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.02%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rostov
VHL
06.12.25	Bars Kazan - Rostov	2:1 ✺
04.12.25	CSK VVS Samara - Rostov	3:2 OT ✺
02.12.25	Chelny - Rostov	4:2 ✺
30.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rostov	3:2 OT ✺
24.11.25	Rostov - AKM	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
08.12.25	Tambov - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1 ✺
02.12.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Buran Voronezh	5:0 ✺
30.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rostov	3:2 OT ✺
28.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Tambov	4:0 ✺
24.11.25	Dynamo-Altay - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
30.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rostov	3:2 OT
15.02.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rostov	4:1
07.10.24	Rostov - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:4 penalties
08.02.24	Rostov - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:3 penalties
12.09.23	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rostov	4:1
29.11.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rostov	0:1
18.11.22	Rostov - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	5:7

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