Match Info

VHL

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Yubileiny (Almetyevsk)


	Neftyanik Almetyevsk		Rostov

	1	X	2
	1.21	6.13	8.16
	1.22	7.07	9.22	Watch
	1.25	6.75	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.41)	6.65 ↑ (5.33)	8.79 ↑ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
75.5%

Draw
13.9%

Rostov
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

17.6%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

16.9%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neftyanik Almetyevsk's performance.

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rostov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neftyanik Almetyevsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rostov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Nazarov Y. (G)	20. Puzyakov M. (G)
90. Sumin A. (A)	94. Voronin N.
28. Terekhov S.	62. Dimitrov N.
59. Terekhov S.	17. Smolyov I.
50. Komkov D.	21. Sergiyevsky Y. (C)
99. Zhulin T.	95. Korbit Y.
Line 2
89. Onishko A.	49. Balanov Y. (A)
49. Khamidullin D. (C)	6. Gapochkin R.
98. Avramenko I.	26. Urulin S. (A)
63. Platonov Y.	78. Kondyrev K.
88. Bulatov A.	9. Myagkov V.
Line 3
75. Ionov S.	44. Grishin P.
55. Mulyukov I.	5. Makarov S.
32. Yakupov R.	64. Sorokin S.
70. Boychuk D.	25. Sedantsov O.
71. Shakirov R.	8. Sokolov D.
Line 4
4. Chetverikov D.	55. Machugin D.
87. Rakhimullin A.	15. Kuznetsov A.
19. Khlopotov V. (A)	23. Kamensky Y.
77. Marushev M.	88. Voloskov G.
Substitutes
37. Nosov G. (G)	70. Petkilev Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
02:15, 1 - 0, Komkov D. (G), Sumin A. (A), Zhulin T. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
19:18, 2 - 0, Marushev M. (G), Shakirov R. (A), Sumin A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
04:51, 2 - 1, Korbit Y. (G), Dimitrov N. (A), Sergiyevsky Y. (A2)
13:30, 2 - 2, Sedantsov O. (G), Sorokin S. (A), Sokolov D. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 0)
1, Sedantsov O. (Penalty Shot),
1, Marushev M. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 3.

In recent matches, Neftyanik Almetyevsk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rostov has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Neftyanik Almetyevsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Neftyanik Almetyevsk has had a series of away games.

Recently, Rostov has had a series of home games.

In this match, Neftyanik Almetyevsk is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Neftyanik Almetyevsk will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:25. (average 3.4:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2.8:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.52%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
28.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Tambov	4:0 ✺
24.11.25	Dynamo-Altay - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:7 ✺
22.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	6:5 penalties ✺
20.11.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:10 ✺
17.11.25	Norilsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL
- HC Rostov
VHL
24.11.25	Rostov - AKM	2:7 ✺
22.11.25	Rostov - Ryazan	3:4 OT ✺
20.11.25	Rostov - Dizel Penza	0:5 ✺
18.11.25	Rostov - Kristall Saratov	0:4 ✺
12.11.25	Izhstal - Rostov	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
15.02.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rostov	4:1
07.10.24	Rostov - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:4 penalties
08.02.24	Rostov - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:3 penalties
12.09.23	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rostov	4:1
29.11.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rostov	0:1
18.11.22	Rostov - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	5:7
15.02.22	Rostov - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:0

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