Match Info

VHL

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Sports Sarae (Kazan)


	Bars Kazan		Rostov

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.01	4.1
	1.54	4.64	4.84	Watch
	1.68	4.25	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.5)	4.3 ↓ (4.88)	4.41 ↓ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
57.2%

Draw
21.7%

Rostov
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

19.2%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

19.2%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bars Kazan's form might have worsened.

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bars Kazan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Bars Kazan - Rostov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)	20. Puzyakov M. (G)
24. Bogatov N. (A)	94. Voronin N.
39. Almetkin V.	11. Tsalpanov Y.
17. Gizatullin D.	23. Kamensky Y.
9. Alshevsky S. (A)	21. Sergiyevsky Y. (C)
41. Klimkin I.	17. Smolyov I.
Line 2
22. Bardin I.	49. Balanov Y. (A)
60. Lisov N.	6. Gapochkin R.
10. Galeyev I.	78. Kondyrev K.
98. Saberzyanov M.	25. Sedantsov O.
61. Khasanov I.	26. Urulin S. (A)
Line 3
75. Ivanov A.	44. Grishin P.
26. Taimazov A.	5. Makarov S.
96. Nazmutdinov A.	33. Murat G.
28. Golubev D. (C)	7. Galushkin A.
93. Barsukov I.	8. Sokolov D.
Line 4
53. Makhmutov A.	37. Opotsky R.
71. Samigullin R.	9. Myagkov V.
88. Alshevsky Y.	55. Machugin D.
23. Zinovyev D.
91. Chupin M.
Substitutes
80. Chibizov A. (G)	70. Petkilev Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
16:00, 1 - 0, Khasanov I. (G), Galeyev I. (A), Saberzyanov M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
13:00, 2 - 0, Golubev D. (G), Gizatullin D. (A), Almetkin V. (A2)
14:28, 2 - 1, Urulin S. (G), Kondyrev K. (A), Sedantsov O. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bars won 3.

Bars has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rostov has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Rostov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bars has had a series of away games.

In this match, Bars is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Bars will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bars won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 43:29. (average 3.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bars won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:15. (average 4:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
04.12.25	Bars Kazan - Tambov	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Dynamo-Altay - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
28.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Bars Kazan	4:2 ✺
26.11.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Bars Kazan	5:1 ✺
23.11.25	Norilsk - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLLW
- HC Rostov
VHL
04.12.25	CSK VVS Samara - Rostov	3:2 OT ✺
02.12.25	Chelny - Rostov	4:2 ✺
30.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rostov	3:2 OT ✺
24.11.25	Rostov - AKM	2:7 ✺
22.11.25	Rostov - Ryazan	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
11.02.25	Bars Kazan - Rostov	7:4
09.10.24	Rostov - Bars Kazan	3:1
02.02.24	Rostov - Bars Kazan	1:3
16.09.23	Bars Kazan - Rostov	4:3 penalties
19.01.23	Rostov - Bars Kazan	5:2
04.10.22	Bars Kazan - Rostov	2:1
08.01.22	Bars Kazan - Rostov	2:4

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