Match Info

VHL

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday

Location: Ledovaya Arena (Rostov)


	Rostov		AKM

	1	X	2
	3.12	3.79	1.98
	3.45	4.06	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (3.85)	3.93 ↓ (4.2)	1.93 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
28.3%

Draw
23.6%

AKM
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

22.3%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

20.4%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AKM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rostov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AKM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rostov - AKM Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AKM (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
70. Petkilev Y. (G)	91. Pastukh V. (G)
62. Dimitrov N.	25. Puchkov Y. (A)
11. Tsalpanov Y.	71. Zaitsev D.
27. Kalmykov D.	28. Tsybin M. (A)
21. Sergiyevsky Y. (C)	77. Sharifyanov T.
8. Sokolov D.	36. Shumilin Y.
Line 2
49. Balanov Y. (A)	23. Yuzbashyan R.
6. Gapochkin R.	85. Fazylzyanov K. (C)
26. Urulin S. (A)	12. Rybakov V.
25. Sedantsov O.	70. Dyukarev V.
95. Korbit Y.	29. Kaburov G.
Line 3
94. Voronin N.	3. Zhurakov D.
5. Makarov S.	38. Bulygin D.
64. Sorokin S.	32. Manin Y.
17. Smolyov I.	88. Shiafotdinov K.
9. Myagkov V.	86. Ignatov S.
Line 4
44. Grishin P.	16. Marin M.
15. Kuznetsov A.	8. Yefimov I.
7. Galushkin A.	13. Bryntsev M.
88. Voloskov G.	33. Gorodetsky B.
Substitutes
20. Puzyakov M. (G)	97. Skovronsky A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 5)
01:48, 1 - 0, Smolyov I. (G), Sorokin S. (A), Myagkov V. (A2)
07:10, 1 - 1, Kaburov G. (G), Tsybin M. (A), Shiafotdinov K. (A2)
14:12, 1 - 2, Kaburov G. (G), Rybakov V. (A),
16:35, 1 - 3, Tsybin M. (G), Puchkov Y. (A), Ignatov S. (A2)
19:48, 1 - 4, Fazylzyanov K. (G),
19:58, 1 - 5, Dyukarev V. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
06:41, 1 - 6, Sharifyanov T. (G), Tsybin M. (A), Zhurakov D. (A2)
09:25, 2 - 6, Urulin S. (G), Sedantsov O. (A),
12:31, 2 - 7, Sharifyanov T. (G), Bulygin D. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 2.

Rostov is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

AKM is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

AKM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, AKM has had a series of home games.

AKM might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that AKM will win today's game, with odds of 2.01.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 2.9:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 3:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Rostov - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 24.37%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

AKM - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 53.3%, but this team recently wins 85% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rostov
VHL
22.11.25	Rostov - Ryazan	3:4 OT ✺
20.11.25	Rostov - Dizel Penza	0:5 ✺
18.11.25	Rostov - Kristall Saratov	0:4 ✺
12.11.25	Izhstal - Rostov	3:1 ✺
10.11.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Rostov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AKM Tula
VHL
22.11.25	Tambov - AKM	2:3 penalties ✺
17.11.25	AKM - Dynamo-Altay	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	AKM - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3 ✺
13.11.25	AKM - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	3:1 ✺
11.11.25	AKM - Norilsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
08.03.25	AKM - Rostov	1:2
16.09.24	Rostov - AKM	8:4
13.01.24	Rostov - AKM	0:2
10.10.23	AKM - Rostov	5:2
23.01.23	Rostov - AKM	1:4
28.09.22	AKM - Rostov	5:4 OT
24.12.21	AKM - Rostov	2:3

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