Match Info

VHL

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ledovaya Arena (Rostov) 🌤️ ...


	Rostov		Zauralie Kurgan

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.82	2.27
	2.68	4.24	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.76)	4.03 ↑ (3.7)	2.22 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
34.4%

Draw
23.3%

Zauralie Kurgan
42.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.9%

25.3%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

25.1%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Zauralie Kurgan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Rostov - Zauralie Kurgan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Puzyakov M. (G)	20. Vinogradov Z. (G)
62. Dimitrov N.	3. Shikun A.
11. Tsalpanov Y.	79. Isayev I. (C)
27. Kalmykov D. (C)	13. Ugolnikov A.
17. Smolyov I.	93. Kozlov I.
8. Sokolov D.	17. Lipanov A.
Line 2
94. Voronin N.	67. Vasilyev K.
49. Balanov Y. (A)	77. Belyakov F. (A)
26. Urulin S. (A)	78. Komaristy A. (A)
25. Sedantsov O.	34. Tagirov K.
9. Myagkov V.	82. Shiryayev I.
Line 3
6. Gapochkin R.	16. Avvakumov I.
5. Makarov S.	61. Kozhemyakin G.
64. Sorokin S.	11. Ryzhov K.
7. Galushkin A.	98. Govorkov R.
98. Levinsky A.	74. Govorkov M.
Line 4
55. Machugin D.	37. Afridanov I.
37. Opotsky R.	97. Bogdanov A.
15. Kuznetsov A.	12. Kovyazin I.
23. Kamensky Y.	66. Pasmanik L.
Substitutes
31. Kapustin K. (G)	60. Gorbunov I. (G)
70. Petkilev Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
11:24, 0 - 1, Shikun A. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:38, 0 - 2, Kozlov I. (G), Lipanov A. (A), Shikun A. (A2)
01:56, 1 - 2, Sorokin S. (G), Gapochkin R. (A),
11:56, 1 - 3, Bogdanov A. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:01, 1 - 4, Komaristy A. (G), Shiryayev I. (A),
08:44, 2 - 4, Balanov Y. (G), Sedantsov O. (A), Machugin D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rostov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rostov has had a series of away games.

Recently, Zauralie has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 2.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 2.7:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Rostov - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.88%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Zauralie Kurgan - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.84%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Rostov
VHL
05.10.25	Rostov - Omskie Krylia	1:4 ✺
26.09.25	Buran Voronezh - Rostov	4:5 ✺
21.09.25	Dynamo-Altay - Rostov	3:4 ✺
19.09.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Rostov	3:2 ✺
17.09.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Rostov	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLL
- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
05.10.25	Tambov - Zauralie Kurgan	4:5 penalties ✺
30.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Dynamo-Altay	6:4 ✺
28.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:5 ✺
25.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	3:2 ✺
23.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Norilsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
11.12.24	Rostov - Zauralie Kurgan	4:0
01.12.24	Zauralie Kurgan - Rostov	3:4 OT
04.12.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Rostov	3:1
08.11.23	Rostov - Zauralie Kurgan	1:3
25.12.22	Zauralie Kurgan - Rostov	3:4
24.10.22	Rostov - Zauralie Kurgan	4:2
23.01.22	Rostov - Zauralie Kurgan	4:2

Rostov - Zauralie Kurgan