Match Info

VHL

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Kristall (Tambov)


	Tambov		Zauralie Kurgan

	1	X	2
	2.41	3.81	2.6
	2.29	3.88	2.65	Watch
	2.15	3.8	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.43)	3.83 ↑ (3.5)	2.65 (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tambov
40.7%

Draw
24.3%

Zauralie Kurgan
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

26.6%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tambov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

The chances for Zauralie Kurgan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Tambov - Zauralie Kurgan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
89. Valiullin S. (G)	60. Gorbunov I. (G)
24. Mamkin M.	3. Shikun A.
72. Vasin I.	79. Isayev I. (C)
84. Nizovkin M.	13. Ugolnikov A. (A)
9. Peshekhonov V. (C)	93. Kozlov I.
74. Zhabreyev A.	17. Lipanov A.
Line 2
95. Pesterev V.	67. Vasilyev K.
67. Karimov T.	77. Belyakov F. (A)
97. Grymzin S. (A)	87. Nizovtsev S.
17. Samsonov D.	34. Tagirov K.
92. Korinevsky M. (A)	82. Shiryayev I.
Line 3
26. Ershov	16. Avvakumov I.
81. Sergeyev D.	50. Pozhidaev A.
65. Nikiforov	11. Ryzhov K.
87. Gorbunov Y.	98. Govorkov R.
64. Shilov	74. Govorkov M.
Line 4
28. Bulychyov G.	73. Shapenkov K.
93. Yermakov I.	97. Bogdanov A.
10. Tochilkin A.	52. Selivanov I.
37. Baranov Y.	66. Pasmanik L.
Substitutes
22. Korolev T. (G)	20. Vinogradov Z. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
00:23, 1 - 0, Nizovkin M. (G), Peshekhonov V. (A), Zhabreyev A. (A2)
04:54, 1 - 1, Ugolnikov A. (G), Vasilyev K. (A), Belyakov F. (A2)
15:02, 1 - 2, Ugolnikov A. (G), Kozlov I. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:06, 1 - 3, Ryzhov K. (G), Govorkov R. (A),
17:35, 2 - 3, Tochilkin A. (G), Karimov T. (A), Pesterev V. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
12:16, 2 - 4, Shiryayev I. (G), Avvakumov I. (A),
18:05, 3 - 4, Zhabreyev A. (G), Samsonov D. (A), Peshekhonov V. (A2)
18:52, 4 - 4, Zhabreyev A. (G),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Tochilkin A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Govorkov M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Nizovkin M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Lipanov A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Peshekhonov V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Shiryayev I. (Penalty Shot),
4, Grymzin S. (Penalty Shot),
4, Tagirov K. (Penalty Shot),
5, Zhabreyev A. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Zauralie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tambov has had a series of away games.

Recently, Zauralie has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 2.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tambov won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 2:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Tambov - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.3%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Zauralie Kurgan - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.12%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Tambov
VHL
03.10.25	Tambov - Omskie Krylia	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Buran Voronezh - Tambov	2:3 penalties ✺
23.09.25	Dynamo-Altay - Tambov	3:4 OT ✺
21.09.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Tambov	3:2 ✺
19.09.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Tambov	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWLL
- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
30.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Dynamo-Altay	6:4 ✺
28.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:5 ✺
25.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	3:2 ✺
23.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Norilsk	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	SKA-VMF - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
13.12.24	Tambov - Zauralie Kurgan	3:1
03.12.24	Zauralie Kurgan - Tambov	2:3
08.12.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Tambov	1:2 penalties
06.11.23	Tambov - Zauralie Kurgan	3:4 penalties
28.11.22	Tambov - Zauralie Kurgan	1:4
19.11.22	Zauralie Kurgan - Tambov	1:3
21.01.22	Tambov - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3

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